Tigers vs. Rangers prediction, odds, props, start time: Free Sunday Night Baseball picks from proven model

The Texas Rangers will look to complete a three-game sweep when they take on the Detroit Tigers in a key American League matchup on Sunday Night Baseball. Texas earned a 2-0 win on Friday and a 4-1 triumph on Saturday. The Tigers (50-49) will start left-hander Tarik Skubal (10-3, 2.23 ERA), while the Rangers will use an opener and send left-hander Jacob Latz (1-0, 3.00 ERA) to the mound.

First pitch from Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Detroit is -188 on the money line (risk $188 to win $100) in the latest Tigers vs. Rangers odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while Texas is a +153 underdog (risk $100 to win $153). The over/under for total runs scored is 7. Skubal is -150 to throw more than 7.5 strikeouts, while Texas’ Marcus Semien is +200 to go over 0.5 runs scored.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It enters Week 17 of the 2025 MLB season 46-43 on top-rated MLB betting picks. It has excelled in making home run prop picks, returning more than 40 units of profit. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps, or new users taking advantage of the latest DraftKings promo code could have seen strong returns. Bet at DraftKings and get $150 in bonus bets instantly:

Here are the model’s three best bets for Tigers vs. Rangers (odds subject to change):

• Rangers ML (+153)
• Over 7 runs (-111)
• Adolis Garcia, Rangers, over 0.5 RBI (+240)

Rangers to win (+153)

Texas has been on a roll, winning four in a row and six of 10. Detroit, meanwhile, has dropped six consecutive games. The Rangers have also had a lot of recent success against the Tigers, winning seven of the last 10 meetings. The model favors the Rangers, which have a money line probability of well over 40%, bringing a C-rating. DraftKings is one of the books with a +175 price on the Rangers, and new users can unlock even more value with a DraftKings promo code.

Over 7 runs (-111)

The first two matchups of this series have been low-scoring affairs, but SportsLine’s model is expecting to see runs on Sunday night. Detroit enters this matchup with 125 home runs on the season, which ranks ninth in the majors. Texas, meanwhile, has scored four or more runs in eight of its past nine games, a big reason why the total has gone Over six times during that span. SportsLine’s model is projecting 8.6 combined runs on Sunday, with the Over hitting in 58% of simulations. 

Adolis Garcia, Rangers, over 0.5 RBI (+240)

Garcia has hits in nine of the past 10 games and has recorded at least one RBI in five of the past nine games. In an 11-4 win over the Los Angeles Angels on July 10, he was 2-for-5 with a homer and three RBI. He was 2-for-5 with a homer and one RBI in a 7-3 win at Houston on July 11. In 94 games, he is hitting .232 with 19 doubles, 13 homers and 56 RBI. The model is projecting 0.5 RBI for Garcia, and gives this prop a 4-star rating. FanDuel has this line at +230, with the best way of making this play being via a FanDuel promo code. 

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