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    Home»Fantasy»MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (7/29)
    Fantasy

    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (7/29)

    By Amanda CollinsJuly 30, 20256 Mins Read
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    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Tuesday (7/29)
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    Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has 12 games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the 12-game slate.

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

    Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

    Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

    Max Fried (SP – NYY) vs. TB

    Max Fried is in a rut, but he has excellent numbers this season and a get-right matchup tonight. According to FanGraphs, Fried has the third-lowest ERA (2.62), the fourth-lowest xERA (3.48), the fifth-lowest xFIP (3.45) and the sixth-lowest SIERA (3.57) in 2025 among tonight’s probable starters.

    Expanding upon Fried’s matchup that I mentioned above, the Rays are 21st in wRC+ (85) with a 23.1 K% versus lefties and 25th in wRC+ (90) with a 22.9 K% on the road in 2025. Tampa Bay was also tied for 25th in wRC+ (91) with a 22.1 K% in the previous 30 days. Thus, the Yankees are listed as -210 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

    Tyler Glasnow (SP – LAD) at CIN

    Tyler Glasnow has cooked with gas since returning from the Injured List (IL). In the righty’s past three starts spanning 18 innings, he’s had the following stats.

    • 1.00 ERA
    • 2.36 xFIP
    • 2.64 SIERA
    • 0.78 WHIP
    • Zero wins
    • Two quality starts
    • 7.4 BB%
    • 33.8 K%
    • 13.6 SwStr%
    • 29.3 CSW%
    • 99 stuff+
    • 104 location+
    • 107 pitching+

    Glasnow has a favorable matchup and decent betting info tonight. The Reds are tied for 14th in wRC+ (102) with a 22.4 K% versus righties and 22nd in wRC+ (93) with a 22.6 K% at home this season. Cincinnati was also only 28th in wRC+ (89) with a 20.8 K% in the previous 30 days. So, the Dodgers are -150 favorites, and the game’s total is 9.0 runs.

    Lucas Giolito (SP – BOS) at MIN

    Unfortunately, Lucas Giolito has coughed up nine earned runs in only 9.1 innings in his previous two starts. Nevertheless, in his previous five starts spanning 30 innings, Giolito had a 3.00 ERA, 4.04 xFIP, 4.06 SIERA, 1.07 WHIP, 5.8 BB%, 21.5 K%, 12.2 SwStr% and 27.2 CSW%. He also recorded three wins and three quality starts.

    Giolito has a bounce-back matchup and rock-solid betting info tonight. The Twins are tied for 20th in wRC+ (100) with a 21.5 K% versus righties and tied for 14th in wRC+ (105) with a 21.2 K% at home this year. Minnesota was also 21st in wRC+ (96) with a 23.1 K% in the previous 30 days. Finally, the Red Sox are -120 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

    BettingPros App

    Suggested Lineup Stacks

    The Mariners didn’t take full advantage of the hitter-friendly conditions at Sutter Health Park last night, but they have another golden opportunity tonight against Luis Severino. The 31-year-old righty has a putrid 6.68 ERA in 66 innings at home, coughing up a .341 wOBA to 149 left-handed batters faced and a .378 wOBA to 159 right-handed batters faced. Seattle’s lefties and righties are exciting stacking options tonight.

    • Home (Sutter Health Park)
    • Game Total/Moneyline: 10.5 Runs/ATH -105

    The Athletics can also take advantage of their hitter-friendly ballpark against an overachieving rookie. Logan Evans has a 3.64 ERA in 11 starts this season. However, his 5.50 xERA, 4.63 xFIP and 4.73 SIERA are more indicative of the quality of Evans’ work and what to expect going forward. Moreover, even though Evans has been quite lucky this year, he’s allowed a .331 wOBA to righties and a .351 wOBA to lefties. As a result, all Athletics are stackable hitters tonight.

    Core Studs

    • Nick Kurtz has swatted 19 homers with a .427 OBP, .420 ISO, .495 wOBA and 222 wRC+ in 207 plate appearances against righties this season.
    • Cal Raleigh has ripped 41 round-trippers with 71 runs, 87 RBIs, 12 stolen bases, .369 OBP, .357 ISO, .407 wOBA, .380 xwOBA and 171 wRC+ in 461 plate appearances this season.
    • Tyler Soderstrom has mashed 18 taters with a .354 OBP, .235 ISO, .369 wOBA and 135 wRC+ in 345 plate appearances against righties this year.

    Value Plays/Punts

    • J.P. Crawford has had a .351 OBP, .141 ISO, .329 wOBA and 118 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
    • Dominic Canzone has launched six long-balls with 13 runs, 15 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .333 OBP, .207 ISO, .358 wOBA, .363 xwOBA and 137 wRC+ in 129 plate appearances this year.
    • Matt Shaw has exploded since the All-Star Break, even against righties. In 23 plate appearances against righties in the second half, Shaw has hit two homers with four runs, five RBIs, a .348 OBP, .364 ISO, .433 wOBA and 185 wRC+.

    Tuesday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    Cal Raleigh (C, DH – SEA): 9.5 Fantasy Points – Higher

    Raleigh has hit 25 homers with a .365 OBP, .317 ISO, .377 wOBA and 151 wRC+ in 334 plate appearances against right-handed pitching this year. Conversely, Severino has allowed a .273 batting average, .362 OBP, .414 SLG and .341 wOBA to 149 left-handed batters faced at home this year.

    Nick Kurtz (1B – ATH): 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher

    Kurtz is locked in. In his previous 24 games and 106 plate appearances, Kurtz has recorded 36 hits (10 singles, 13 doubles, one triple and 12 homers), 27 runs, 31 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .476 OBP, .560 ISO, .582 wOBA and 282 wRC+.

    Randy Arozarena (OF – SEA): 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher

    Severino has coughed up a .327 batting average, .371 OBP, .503 SLG and .378 wOBA to 158 right-handed batters faced at home this season. Meanwhile, Randy Arozarena is having a stellar season at the plate, with 20 homers, 59 runs, 52 RBIs, 19 stolen bases, a .351 OBP, .219 ISO, .355 wOBA, .358 xwOBA and 135 wRC+.

    Fantasy Baseball Trade & Waiver Wire Advice


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    Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

    DFS MLB picks player props Tuesday Underdog
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