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    Home»Fantasy»MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Wednesday (7/30)
    Fantasy

    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Wednesday (7/30)

    Amanda CollinsBy Amanda CollinsJuly 30, 2025No Comments6 Mins Read0 Views
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    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Wednesday (7/30)
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    Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 6:40 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has six games. The suggested pick’em choices from Underdog are also from the six-game slate.

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

    Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

    Wednesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

    Nathan Eovaldi (SP – TEX) at LAA

    Nathan Eovaldi is a road warrior. According to FanGraphs, he has a 2.83 ERA, 3.33 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, 5.7% walk rate and 23.8% strikeout rate in 22 starts spanning 133.2 innings on the road since last season. Eovaldi is also in remarkable form, spinning the following numbers in his previous four starts, totaling 23.2 innings:

    • 0.38 ERA
    • 2.66 xFIP
    • 2.88 SIERA
    • 0.89 WHIP
    • 4 wins
    • 2 Quality Starts
    • 6.8% Walk Rate
    • 29.5% Strikeout Rate
    • 13% SwStr%
    • 30.4% CSW%

    Eovaldi has a sweet matchup and decent betting info tonight. The Angels are tied for 21st in wRC+ (100) with a 25.5% strikeout rate versus righties and tied for 20th in wRC+ (95) with a 26.4% strikeout rate at home in 2025. Thus, the Rangers are listed as -130 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs, which isn’t awful, namely on this particular slate.

    Bryan Woo (SP – SEA) at ATH

    Bryan Woo is strictly a GPP pivot from Eovaldi on tonight’s small slate. The Athletics are 12th in wRC+ (104) with a 22.3% strikeout rate versus righties and 15th in wRC+ (104) with a 23.4% strikeout rate at home this year. They were also tied for third in wRC+ (114) with a 25.7% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. The Athletics are a challenging matchup, and Sutter Health Park is a hitting paradise. Still, the A’s are strikeout-prone, and Woo is talented.

    In Woo’s previous four starts spanning 25.1 innings, he’s tallied the following statistics:

    • 2.84 ERA
    • 3.65 xFIP
    • 3.62 SIERA
    • 0.87 WHIP
    • 1 win
    • 3 Quality Starts
    • 7.1% Walk Rate
    • 25.5% Strikeout Rate
    • 13.1% SwStr%
    • 25.8% CSW%
    • 108 Stuff+
    • 111 Location+
    • 115 Pitching+

    Woo’s betting info is mixed. On the plus side, the Mariners are -148 favorites. Sadly, the game’s total is a slightly terrifying 9.5 runs. Again, Woo is only a GPP option.

    Will Warren (SP-  NYY) vs. TB

    Unfortunately, Will Warren has had a 5.00 ERA in 72 innings at home since last season. Yet, the righty’s 3.61 xFIP and 27.3% strikeout rate were more encouraging marks. Warren is in a similar boat this season, with a 4.82 ERA in 22 starts spanning 104.2 innings. However, Warren has a 4.06 xERA, 3.56 xFIP, 3.85 SIERA and 26.7% strikeout rate. He’s a DFS asset at his best, and a disaster at his worst.

    Fortunately, Warren is facing an offense that’s struggled on the road and has stumbled lately. The Rays are tied for 24th in wRC+ (91) with a 22.8% strikeout rate on the road this season. Tampa Bay was also tied for 28th in wRC+ (87) with a 22.6% strikeout rate in the previous 30 days. Finally, the Yankees are -140, and the game’s total is nine runs. There is enough to like here to warrant using Warren as an SP2 at DraftKings.

    Check out the new BettingPros sports betting app, featuring betting systems, a same game parlay tool, social bet feeds, and sportsbook sync!

    Suggested Lineup Stacks

    Seattle’s offense has wet the bed in back-to-back games at Sutter Health Park, scoring three runs on Monday and one on Tuesday, despite favorable matchups and hitting conditions. They could let me down again, but Jeffrey Springs has a 4.27 ERA and 4.74 xFIP in 52.2 innings at home this season. I’ll back the Mariners again tonight.

    Zack Littell‘s 3.72 ERA in 21 starts this season is much better than his 4.56 xERA, 4.21 xFIP and 4.26 SIERA. Furthermore, Littell has a 4.00 ERA and 4.74 xFIP in 72 innings on the road this year. The Bronx Bombers have the firepower, even without Aaron Judge, to light up a lucky pitcher and begin his regression process.

    Core Studs

    • Randy Arozarena has hit 21 homers with a .354 on-base percentage (OBO), .222 ISO, .359 wOBA and 138 wRC+ in 438 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023.
    • Giancarlo Stanton has crushed three homers with seven runs, six RBI, a .389 OBP, .303 ISO, .428 wOBA, 179 wRC+, 50% fly ball rate and 63.6% hard-hit rate in nine games and 36 plate appearances in the second half.
    • Ben Rice is putting together a breakout sophomore campaign. He’s drilled 15 dingers with 48 runs, 32 RBI, three stolen bases, a .322 OBP, .228 ISO, .338 wOBA and 118 wRC+ in 333 plate appearances in 2025.

    Value Plays/Punts

    • J.P. Crawford is better with the platoon advantage, but he’s not a slouch against lefties. He has had a .325 OBP, .118 ISO, .325 wOBA and 115 wRC+ in 469 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.
    • Jasson Dominguez has mashed nine taters with 47 runs, 36 RBI, 16 stolen bases, a .334 OBP, .149 ISO, .327 wOBA and 110 wRC+ in 341 plate appearances this season.
    • Mitch Garver has ripped 11 round-trippers with a .372 OBP, .169 ISO, .352 wOBA and 134 wRC+ in 339 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.

    Wednesday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    Giancarlo Stanton (OF, DH – NYY): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI — Higher

    Zack Littell has struck out only 14.2% of the 162 right-handed batters he’s faced on the road this year. His inability to miss bats against righties on the road is a recipe for a slugger like Giancarlo Stanton to explode.

    In 45 plate appearances against righties at home this year, Stanton has hit four homers with a .349 batting average, .378 OBP, .651 SLG, .302 ISO, .438 wOBA and 186 wRC+. Stanton has cleared 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in six of eight starts since the All-Star break.

    Jazz Chisholm (2B, 3B, OF – NYY): 7.5 Fantasy Points — Higher

    Jazz Chisholm has swatted 52 homers with a .332 OBP, .241 ISO, .355 wOBA and 127 wRC+ in 928 plate appearances against righties since 2023. He’s also having an excellent season this year, with 18 homers, 43 runs, 49 RBI, 10 stolen bases, a .339 OBP, .237 ISO, .355 wOBA, .373 xwOBA and 129 wRC+ in 317 plate appearances this season.

    Zack Littell has yielded an eye-popping .371 wOBA to 126 left-handed batters on the road this season after ceding a .371 wOBA to 165 lefties on the road last year.

    Randy Arozarena (OF – SEA): 7.5 Fantasy Points — Higher

    I highlighted Radny Arozarena’s exploits against lefties earlier, but he’s also in superb form. In his last 156 plate appearances, Arozarena has rattled off 12 homers, 31 runs, 24 RBI, six stolen bases, a .353 OBP, .324 ISO, .402 wOBA and 167 wRC+.

    Fantasy Baseball Trade & Waiver Wire Advice


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    Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

    DFS MLB picks player props Underdog Wednesday
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    Amanda Collins
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