The 2025 NFL preseason is underway, meaning we’ve officially hit the start of redraft fantasy football season. Therefore, it’s time to do all the preparation fantasy players ignored over the past few months. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.
Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft values based on Yahoo ADP for redraft leagues.
Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Yahoo
James Cook (BUF) – ADP 32.7 | RB13
Many were shocked to see Cook finish last season as the RB8, averaging 16.7 PPR fantasy points per game. While many called for him to have a third-year breakout, no one expected it to happen the way it did. The former Georgia star had 16 rushing touchdowns and two receiving scores in 2024, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. By comparison, Cook had four rushing touchdowns and five receiving scores over his first two seasons in the NFL. Unfortunately, the star running back is a clear-cut touchdown regression candidate.
Joe Mixon (HOU) – ADP 70.6 | RB26
While Mixon’s ADP has dropped because of the foot/ankle injury, it hasn’t dropped enough. Last year, he averaged 17.2 PPR fantasy points per game. However, the former Oklahoma star was the RB27 from Week 12 through Week 18, averaging 10 fantasy points per contest. According to Fantasy Points Date, his 4.5% explosive run rate was lower than Tank Bigsby‘s 4.8%, and his 13% missed forced tackle per attempt rate was lower than Gus Edwards‘ 16%. Houston has no clear timeline for his return, landing Mixon on my do-not-draft list.
Tyreek Hill (MIA) – ADP 35.1 | WR14
Unfortunately, Hill was a fantasy bust in 2024, finishing as the WR18, averaging 12.8 PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, his fantasy success was drastically tied to Tua Tagovailoa’s health. He averaged six targets and 8.6 fantasy points per game in the seven contests Tagovailoa didn’t play or left early. By comparison, Hill averaged 8.1 targets and 15.8 fantasy points per game in the 10 contests Tagovailoa finished. Yet, his 15.8 fantasy points per contest average would have only made him the WR14 on a points-per-game basis last year.
Zay Flowers (BAL) – ADP 61.9 | WR24
The Ravens finished second in the NFL last season with 41 passing touchdowns. Yet, Flowers had four, accounting for 9.8% of the team’s total, totaling only one more receiving touchdown than Justice Hill (three). More importantly, he was the WR25 in 2024, averaging 12.3 PPR fantasy points per game, down from his rookie year (12.9), despite ranking 14th among qualifying wide receivers in target share (24.1%) and posting the same target per route run rate (26%) as Justin Jefferson (per Fantasy Points Data). Furthermore, Baltimore added DeAndre Hopkins this offseason.
Brock Bowers (LV) – ADP 21.5 | TE1
Fantasy players should have no problem drafting Bowers as the first tight end off the board, especially after the Raiders acquired Geno Smith. Furthermore, the superstar’s late second-round ADP is perfect value. However, fantasy players should wait and draft Trey McBride at his price instead. He is the TE2 in ADP but comes off the board half a round later (28.1) than Bowers. Both tight ends are elite fantasy options and worthy of top 30 picks. So, why pay for Bowers when you can get McBride at a slight discount?
Mark Andrews (BAL) – ADP 63.2 | TE7
Andrews was the TE6 last season, averaging 11.1 PPR fantasy points per game, thanks to a heavy touchdown run to end the year. After totaling zero touchdowns and 22 fantasy points over the first five contests, he averaged nearly a touchdown and 13.9 fantasy points per game over the final 13 weeks. More importantly, his targets per game only improved from 2.8 during his slump to 4.6 during the hot streak. Andrews is vastly overvalued as a sixth-round pick, especially when fantasy players can get Tyler Warren 4.5 rounds later.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.