When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). And even ADP can lag as you prepare for your draft, making it difficult to know when to draft the top trending players. We have you covered with Real-Time ADP! Unlike traditional ADP, Real-Time ADP quickly detects changes in a player’s average draft position. Instead of showing you where players were drafted yesterday, Real-Time ADP shows you where they’re being drafted now.
Let’s look into a few notable fantasy football draft risers and fallers based on Real-Time ADP.
Fantasy Football Draft Advice: Risers & Fallers
Here are fantasy football draft ADP risers and fallers based on Real-Time ADP.
Fantasy Football ADP Risers
| RK | Name | POS.RK | REAL-TIME | TREND (24H) | TREND (7D) | PICK NUM. | YAHOO | SLEEPER |
| 97 | Braelon Allen NYJ (9) | RB34 | 99.2 | 6.4 | 38.1 | 9.01 | 100 | 134 |
| 100 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS (12) | RB36 | 104.7 | -1.8 | 16.5 | 9.04 | 118 | 128 |
| 82 | Tucker Kraft GB (5) | TE8 | 84.5 | 3.1 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 87 | 104 |
| 90 | Tyler Warren IND (11) | TE11 | 91.4 | 1.3 | 12.1 | 8.06 | 110 | 93 |
| 106 | Jake Ferguson DAL (10) | TE12 | 113.7 | 7.2 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 117 | 136 |
| 75 | Emeka Egbuka TB (9) | WR33 | 76.9 | – | 10 | 7.03 | 93 | 95 |
| 137 | Dylan Sampson CLE (9) | RB45 | 137.9 | – | 9.4 | 12.05 | 178 | 166 |
| 125 | Austin Ekeler WAS (12) | RB41 | 127.8 | -5.3 | 7.1 | 11.05 | 147 | 116 |
| 161 | Ollie Gordon II MIA (12) | RB53 | 148.9 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 14.05 | 186 | 158 |
| 122 | Dallas Goedert PHI (9) | TE15 | 125.7 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 11.02 | 120 | 149 |
| 74 | Ricky Pearsall SF (14) | WR32 | 76.2 | – | 6.3 | 7.02 | 94 | 88 |
| 94 | Zach Charbonnet SEA (8) | RB31 | 95.4 | – | 5.9 | 8.1 | 114 | 102 |
| 143 | Zach Ertz WAS (12) | TE18 | 143.8 | 8 | 5.7 | 12.11 | 152 | 169 |
| 49 | Tony Pollard TEN (10) | RB21 | 52.9 | – | 5.4 | 5.01 | 54 | 67 |
| 57 | Tetairoa McMillan CAR (14) | WR25 | 58.3 | – | 4.9 | 5.09 | 72 | 60 |
A seventh-round rookie, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been a revelation in training camp and seems poised to become the Commanders’ starting RB. Croskey-Merritt, who goes by “Bill,” has an unusual college production profile that included stints at Alabama State, New Mexico and Arizona. While the college production was nothing special, Croskey-Merritt’s athleticism stood out at his pro day, where he clocked a 4.45 and high-jumped 41.5 inches. This surging rookie RB warrants mid-round attention in fantasy drafts and has a chance to be a pleasant surprise.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Last year, Tucker Kraft stepped up as Green Bay’s clear present and future starting tight end. The South Dakota State alum finished as the TE14 in fantasy points per game in the Packers’ run-heavy offense. Green Bay loves its committee approach with the passing game, so it’s tough to see Kraft becoming a high-end target earner in this offense, but he has the talent to do so. Last year, among 47 qualifying tight ends, Kraft ranked 20th in target share and 27th in first read share, but he posted top 12 marks in receiving yards per game (12th-best), yards per route run (seventh), missed tackles forced (third), and yards after the catch per reception (first). Green Bay did feed him an 18.5% designed target rate (second-best among tight ends), but he wasn’t the first option on many passing plays. Kraft proved he has the talent to take the next step and become a focal point if the Green Bay offensive design changes in 2025. Kraft is a wild card TE1.
– Derek Brown
Once a high-efficiency darling as the backup to Ezekiel Elliott in Dallas, Tony Pollard has played a bigger role the last two years, but his efficiency has plummeted. Pollard averaged 5.1 yards per carry and 6.3 yards per target over his first four NFL seasons. He’s averaged 4.1 yards per carry and 4.4 yards per target as a lead RB the last two seasons. Pollard finished RB22 in half-point PPR fantasy points per game in 2022, RB23 last year. With Tyjae Spears dealing with a high-ankle sprain, Pollard could see a heavy workload early in the season and get off to a fast start.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
The big, bruising back out of Oklahoma State, Ollie Gordon II was selected by the Dolphins in the sixth round of the NFL Draft. Ollie Gordon had a disappointing 2024 season, but the year prior, he ranked 39th in yards after contact per attempt and seventh in breakaway percentage (per PFF). Gordon is pushing Jaylen Wright for the RB2 spot on the depth chart, as he has entered the late-round handcuff discussion for fantasy. He’s a decent dart in the final rounds of your drafts. He could easily be a touchdown-dependent flex early in the season.
– Derek Brown
Fantasy Football ADP Fallers
| RK | Name | POS.RK | REAL-TIME | TREND (24H) | TREND (7D) | PICK NUM. | YAHOO | SLEEPER |
| 127 | Brian Robinson Jr. SF (14) | RB42 | 128.2 | -4.4 | -40.1 | 11.07 | 85 | 82 |
| 111 | Joe Mixon HOU (6) | RB39 | 116.1 | -4.1 | -30.7 | 10.03 | 76 | 72 |
| 139 | Quinshon Judkins CLE (9) | RB46 | 138 | -8.3 | -23.3 | 12.07 | 112 | 77 |
| 187 | Isaac Guerendo SF (14) | RB57 | 155.9 | 2.2 | -14.6 | 16.07 | 168 | 174 |
| 83 | Rashee Rice KC (10) | WR36 | 85.9 | -1.4 | -14.1 | 7.11 | 69 | 54 |
| 123 | Chris Godwin Jr. TB (9) | WR48 | 125.8 | -2.7 | -11 | 11.03 | 102 | 100 |
| 116 | Cam Skattebo NYG (14) | RB40 | 119.8 | -5 | -10.9 | 10.08 | 124 | 97 |
| 114 | Cooper Kupp SEA (8) | WR44 | 117.7 | -5.3 | -10.7 | 10.06 | 121 | 89 |
| 158 | Jayden Higgins HOU (6) | WR56 | 147.4 | -3.7 | -10.6 | 14.02 | 195 | 115 |
| 164 | Tyjae Spears TEN (10) | RB54 | 149.8 | -1.3 | -10.1 | 14.08 | 182 | 142 |
| 147 | Brandon Aiyuk SF (14) | WR53 | 144.8 | -2.8 | -8.3 | 13.03 | 173 | 123 |
| 148 | Najee Harris LAC (12) | RB50 | 144.9 | -5.2 | -6.6 | 13.04 | 129 | 119 |
| 150 | Darnell Mooney ATL (5) | WR54 | 145.7 | -2.2 | -6.3 | 13.06 | 205 | 126 |
| 89 | Jakobi Meyers LV (8) | WR39 | 91.3 | -2.5 | -4.8 | 8.05 | 96 | 83 |
| 117 | Jayden Reed GB (5) | WR46 | 121.7 | -3.4 | -1.8 | 10.09 | 113 | 105 |
Rashee Rice was electric early last season, averaging 21.6 PPR fantasy points per game over the first three weeks. But he tore his LCL in Week 4 and missed the rest of the year. Now, Rice must serve a six-game suspension for his involvement in a multi-car crash in Dallas in March 2024. It’s possible that upon his return, Rice goes right back to being Patrick Mahomes’ favorite short-area target and picks up where he left off. But young WR Xavier Worthy asserted himself for the Chiefs down the stretch last season, so Rice’s target volume might not be quite what it was before his injury.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Joe Mixon volume-hogged his way to an RB8 finish last year. Last year, he ranked 14th in snap share, fifth in opportunity share, 17th in weighted opportunity, and sixth in red zone touches. The efficiency aspect hasn’t been there, and I doubt that it will change in 2025 with another year of touches hitting the body odometer. Last year, he ranked 22nd in explosive run rate, 38th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 29th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). The Texans added Nick Chubb and Woody Marks this offseason to help out on early downs and in the passing game. With Mixon continuing to deal with a foot/ankle injury that will sideline him until Week 5 of the NFL regular season, he’s off my draft board. There are plenty of risky players with lengthy injury histories to take a swing on in 2025, but Mixon won’t be one of them for me.
– Derek Brown
Brandon Aiyuk tore his ACL in Week 7 of 2024 and might begin the 2025 season on the PUP list. Aiyuk’s season was off to a rough start before the injury. He only reached 50 receiving yards once in the seven games he played. He had zero touchdowns. His catch rate was barely 50%. Now, Aiyuk’s target competition includes George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey, Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall. Aiyuk is a full fade for me this season.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
The Browns selected Quinshon Judkins in the second round of the NFL Draft to be their new early down volume thumper. With Judkins and Dylan Sampson added to this depth chart, I expect Jerome Ford to become a sparsely utilized change-of-pace option. I wasn’t high on Judkins as a prospect, as he ranked outside the top 65 backs in each of the last two seasons in yards after contact per attempt and elusive rating (per PFF). The draft capital and immediate high-volume role have helped to quell some of my pessimism, but Judkins could be held back by the overall ecosystem of the Browns’ offense and his lack of pass game upside. Cleveland’s starting quarterback situation is murky at best. Judkins finished college with 0.76 yards per route run, which isn’t an awe-inspiring number. Clouding Judkins’ availability and ADP is his recent arrest for domestic violence and his still unsigned NFL contract. The NFL has handled off-field issues in a multitude of ways, so I’m not assuming a suspension while we wait for details to continue to surface, but I also wouldn’t rule it out. Judkins missed time in camp and practice will also loom large with his 2025 role in the offense. He’s a risky RB3/4 for 2025.
– Derek Brown
