This year, I’m personally writing our Tournament Takes article as a chance to dive into how I’m approaching roster percentages and my exposure in large field GPPs.
I’ll discuss our Roster Percentage Report and where I differ from it, discuss ways to gain leverage on the field, and any other slate-specific thoughts.
I don’t want to simply repeat what I’ve done throughout the week so here are those articles if you need a chance to catch up:
As always, the best place to receive immediate feedback and discussion is in our #dfs Discord channels for JointheFoot.com members.
Roster Percentage Thoughts
My goal is to walk position-by-position through our Roster Percentage Report and talk through the most popular players. Our DFS Optimizer is a great place to compare projections, roster percentage, and overall game environments for GPPs. These percentages are based estimates using historical averages in large field tournaments.
Quarterbacks
Keep in mind that QB roster percentages never truly get out of control. You can honestly play anyone as long as you are conscious about the common combinations you are getting into while stacking. Beyond the cash considerations, here are a couple of GPP leans I have at the QB position.
- Jayden Daniels is all too easy of a click this week given the scramble rate which is a goldmine for fantasy. The game environment does scare me and Daniels’ two games against NYG last year were underwhelming. If you utilize Daniels, its skinny stacking only and Nabers is your bring back? The options feel limited so I might not be on him as much in GPPs. You can run him naked if you think he outdistances himself from the field.
- Expect a ton of Trevor Lawrence + Brian Thomas Jr. + Travis Hunter double stacks. Is it too cheap? Yes. I highlighted the CAR/JAX matchup in the Pace of Play article and my stacking preferences.
- Baker Mayfield is in a sweet spot in a dome as the QB4/5 in roster percentage. I’ll eat that chalk and double stack him in tournaments.
- I leaned toward the under of the CIN/CLE game. Nevertheless, Joe Burrow and company have the highest team implied total on the slate. My current stance is to meet the field but lower my exposure to the game and stay away from Browns one-off plays.
- I get Daniel Jones in cash at $5100 but question the ceiling given his aDOT and the team’s desire to simplify the playbook.
- For 20-max contests, I likely will pick 3 QBs and build from there with some iteration of TLaw, Baker, Burrow, and whispers: Tua. See more in the Leverage section below.
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