With two Monday Night Football matchups on the slate, we’re tackling things in two formats: Classic and Showdown. Make sure you differentiate the player salaries and pricing structure for each format as listed below.
- Classic gives us access to the whole player pool from both games.
- Showdown narrows the focus to one game at a time, where the CPT slot and game script correlation become the keys to separating from the field.
DK Lines – BUF @ ATL
Spread: BUF -4.5
Total: 49.5
Team Totals: BUF (27), ATL (22.5)
The Bills opened -4.5 but settled at -3.5, showing quiet support for the Falcons despite heavier ticket counts on the Bills. The total climbed from 48 to 49.5, reflecting confidence in scoring efficiency on both sides.
On the social sports books, ATL holds substantially more money, moving the line to -3.5 BUF. This capital discrepancy is a signal that sharps expect ATL’s stout passing defense (only allowing a league-leading 150 passing yards per game) to hold the Bills to a close matchup at home. As of 7:46 am Eastern, Prophet X shows $471 on the Bills -3.5 and $17,951 on the Falcons +3.5, confirming this sentiment.
The over has bounced around from 49 to 48 to 50, settling at 49.5 at the major books. Novig agrees, while Prophet X’s liquidity on the total has dropped to 48, signaling sharps expect ATL to control game tempo at home and the game to go under.
Injuries:
DK Lines – CHI @ WAS
Spread: WAS -5.5
Total: 49.5
Team Totals: WAS (27.5), CHI (22)
WAS opened -5.5 but was bet down to -3.5 (likely due to the injuries at WR with McLaurin/Brown out and Deebo Q), before bouncing back to -5.5 Sunday, signaling market support on the Manders even if the top WRs end up watching in street clothes (not playing). The tickets are split almost right down the middle on both the Bet% and Handle%, meaning there’s no lean towards either team.
Social markets have substantially less liquidity than the ATL/BUF game, agreeing with the major books. There is a slight lean towards the Bears covering and the game going over 50 points, although it’s not enough volume for a clear signal.
Injuries:
CLASSIC (Two Games)
Draft from both games on the slate. You build a full roster (QB, RB, WR, TE, FLEX, DEF) under the salary cap, mixing and matching players across four teams.
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