DK Lines – BAL @ PIT
Spread: BAL – 3.5
Total: 40.5
Team Totals: BAL 22, PIT 18.5
DK Sportsbook: The action is split evenly between both teams. The moneyline favors the Ravens with 62% on BAL and 38% on PIT. It’s the opposite on the spread, with PIT – 3.5 getting 58% to BAL’s 42%. The O/U is nothing more than a coin flip, with the over getting 54% of bets.
Social Books: The Social books show a strong signal in favor of PIT. Currently (10:30 am), Novig has $42k towards the Steelers to cover and another $20k on the ML. ProphetX mirrors this. with another $16k on the PIT moneyline. The public thinks the Steelers will win, and this is one of the bigger morning signals we’ve seen on the socials this year.
Injuries:
IR/Out:
CPT Plays
Lamar Jackson $11,600
Before this season, Lamar has averaged 22.24 fantasy points per game and never below 20 in any season. This year, he’s at 16.7. Since Week 10, the only time he’s finished as a QB1 and gone over 20 fantasy points was against the Steelers in Week 14. This isn’t the same Lamar we’re used to. Lamar has 340 rushing yards on the year – good for 11th in the league. Players ahead of him:
In fact, he only has 43 more than Marcus Mariota! So, what is Lamar as a passer? The Steelers’ defensive strength is stopping rushing TDs (10), but gives up TDs through the air (27). Lamar has zero games over 30 points this year. Unless he somehow finds his wheels again, he’ll likely bring teammates with him as an optimal play.
Stack Idea: Lamar, Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, DeAndre Hopkins + two Steelers.
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