Logan’s prediction: Davis cleans up on the boards.
SAC
43 %
DAL
57 %
Anthony Davis o11.5 Total Rebounds (-115)
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Photo By – Imagn Images. Dallas Mavericks forward Anthony Davis (3) looks on during the second half.
A Western Conference cellar-dweller showdown is on tap tonight as the Sacramento Kings host the Dallas Mavericks.
With trade rumors swirling, Dallas big man Anthony Davis continues to round into form after missing time late in December.
My Mavericks vs. Kings predictions like “AD” to crash the glass against one of the NBA’s weaker rebounding teams. Here are my best NBA picks on Tuesday, January 6.
Mavericks vs Kings prediction
Mavericks vs Kings best bet: Anthony Davis Over 11.5 Rebounds (-115)
Anthony Davis is putting in regular minutes in his last two outings following a two-game hiatus at the end of December.
The veteran center is coming off a stat-stuffing effort against the Houston Rockets, in which he scored 26 points and hauled in 12 rebounds. He’s had two days off to recharge and is ripe for rebound value against the Sacramento Kings.
Sacramento is dead last in the NBA in rebound rate (47%), watching opponents wrangle an average of almost 56 boards per contest. The Kings’ frontcourt is already playing without star center Domantas Sabonis and is also missing a major glass cleaner with 6-foot-9 power forward Keegan Murray (6.1 rebs/game) sidelined with an ankle injury.
This game could see an accelerated pace of play, with the Dallas Mavericks moving at the fifth-highest tempo in the NBA, which means more possessions overall – and more rebounding opportunities. Neither team is a solid shooting squad, especially Sacramento, which is hitting at less than 44% from the floor over the last three games.
On the season, Davis averages more than 17 rebounding chances and has posted 12+ boards in seven of his last dozen appearances since the start of December. Tuesday’s NBA player prop projections range from 11 rebounds to closer to 14 boards against Sacramento.
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Mavericks vs Kings same-game parlay
The Mavericks scored a win over Houston, and the Kings have been blown away during their losing skid.
Davis dominates a soft Sacto frontcourt, allowing the most rebounds in the NBA.
Russell Westbrook is always active on the glass, averaging 6.6 rebounds on the season.
Mavericks vs Kings SGP
- Mavericks moneyline
- Anthony Davis Over 11.5 rebounds
- Russell Westbrook Over 5.5 rebounds
Our “from downtown” SGP: Plant the Flagg
Cooper Flagg went 3-for-4 from beyond the arc the last time he faced the Kings.
Mavericks vs Kings SGP
- Mavericks moneyline
- Anthony Davis Over 11.5 rebounds
- Russell Westbrook Over 5.5 rebounds
- Cooper Flagg Over 1.5 threes
Mavericks vs Kings odds
- Spread: Mavericks -5.5 (-105) | Kings +5.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Mavericks -210 | Kings +175
- Over/Under: Over 232.5 (-110) | Under 232.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Kings betting trend to know
The Dallas Mavericks have gone Over their team total in 14 of the last 17 games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Kings.
How to watch Mavericks vs Kings
| Location | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, January 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 11:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
Mavericks vs Kings latest injuries
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