The last eight matchups between the Zags and Gaels have gone under the total, and we’re expecting another grind-it-out battle between these WCC powerhouses tonight.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Gonzaga Bulldogs forward Tyon Grant-Foster battles against Saint Mary’s Gaels forward Paulius Murauskas.
Saturday’s action wraps up with a showdown between the top two teams in the West Coast Conference, as the Saint Mary’s Gaels host the No. 9 Gonzaga Bulldogs.
The Zags defeated the Gaels 73-65 in Spokane a month ago, and my Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s predictions point to another low-scoring affair.
Here are my top free college basketball picks for Saturday, February 28.
Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET from the University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, with the game airing on ESPN.
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s prediction
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s best bet: Under 144 (-110)
Gonzaga shoots just 31.9% from deep in league play and attempts threes at one of the lowest rates in the country.
The Bulldogs rely on scoring inside, which will be challenging against Saint Mary’s, who have allowed just 63.5 points per game while holding opponents to 44.5% on two-pointers over their last 12 contests. The Gaels play at a slow pace and rank 20th nationally in adjusted defense.
Defensively, the Zags have been strong as well, ranking 12th in adjusted defense and sitting in the top 20 in opponent eFG% (46.4%) and opponent turnover rate.
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Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s same-game parlay
The Gaels are fourth in the country in rebounding rate and will need to dominate the boards to secure a win. Forward Paulius Murauskas is their standout player, pulling down 8+ rebounds in five of his last six contests and averaging 10 rebounds per game during that span.
Even with Braden Huff sidelined by a knee injury, forward Tyon Grant-Foster hasn’t increased his offensive production. He’s scored fewer than 10.5 points in nine of his last 14 games and was limited to just five points in the previous matchup.
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s SGP
- Under 144
- Paulius Murauskas Over 7.5 rebounds
- Tyon Grant-Foster Under 10.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Gaels Grind Out Win
This is a revenge spot for the Gaels, who fell to Gonzaga last month but are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
The game was closer than the final score indicates, with Graham Ike leading the Zags’ comeback with 30 points. Unless he posts another standout performance, Saint Mary’s has a shot at an upset.
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s SGP
- Under 144
- Paulius Murauskas Over 7.5 rebounds
- Tyon Grant-Foster Under 10.5 points
- Saint Mary’s moneyline
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s odds
- Spread: Gonzaga -2 (-105) | Saint Mary’s +2 (-115)
- Moneyline: Gonzaga -135 | Saint Mary’s +115
- Over/Under: Over 144 (-110) | Under 144 (-110)
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s betting trend to know
The Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these conference rivals. Find more college basketball betting trends for Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s.
How to watch Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s
| Location | University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA |
| Date | Saturday, February 28, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Gonzaga vs Saint Mary’s key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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