Chris Faria
• Betting Analyst
8+ years betting experience
Updated:
May 10, 2026 , 10:45 AM ET
• 4 min read
Yordan Alvarez is trying to heat back up after a strong start, and he’ll go yard once again this afternoon.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Yordan Alvarez in MLB action.
The sluggers are out in full force today with 15 games on the MLB docket.
Yordan Alvarez went yard already this weekend, and he’ll headline my home run picks and MLB player props for Sunday, May 10, alongside Kazuma Okamoto and Kyle Schwarber.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Kyle Schwarber |
+239 |
 Kazuma Okamoto |
+430 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+256 |
| 💲Today’s HR parlay | +6296 |
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Home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+239)
Kyle Schwarber is coming off a career year where he hit 56 home runs, and the Philadelphia Phillies slugger is looking to top that number in 2026.
Schwarber is already up to 14 dingers in 40 games and has gone yard in three consecutive contests.
Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sugano has surrendered six dingers in seven starts, while the Colorado bullpen has allowed 24 homers — third most in the MLB.
Schwarber has hit 11 of his 14 home runs vs. right-handed pitching, so he’s got a perfect matchup today.
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCS-Philadelphia, Rockies.TV
Home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+430)
Kazuma Okamoto has stepped up for the injury-riddled Toronto Blue Jays with a team-leading 10 homers in 38 games.
The Japanese import has been on fire in May with five dingers in his last eight contests to go along with a .355 batting average and .871 slugging percentage.
L.A. Angels starter Jose Soriano has impressive numbers, but he’s fallen off heavily over his last two outings.
The southpaw has allowed two homers in each of those starts, while the Angels’ pen has the MLB’s third-worst ERA (5.42) and the fourth-most home runs surrendered (22).
- Time: 1:37 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet One, Angels Broadcast Television
Home run pick: Yordan Alvarez (+256)
Yordan Alvarez snapped a six-game home run drought on Friday, and the Houston Astros star has a good opportunity to add to his lofty totals on Sunday.
Cincinnati Reds starter Andrew Abbott has given up at least one homer in four of his last seven appearances, while Alvarez has launched six of his 13 dingers against southpaws in just 56 at-bats vs. lefties.
Alvarez has the fifth-best rate of barrels per plate appearance in the MLB at 13.4%, so chances are he squares up a few balls this afternoon.
- Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Space City Home Network, Reds.TV
Josh Inglis’ 2026 Transparency Record
- HR picks: 5-10, +8.75 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Kyle Schwarber |
Bet Now +6296 |
| Kazuma Okamoto |
|
| Yordan Alvarez |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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