Shawn Krest
• Betting Analyst
20+ years betting experience
Updated:
Aug 28, 2026 , 06:15 AM ET
• 4 min read
With both teams resting their starters, Arizona’s quarterback depth gives the Cardinals an edge, while a low total points to value on the Over.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Arizona Cardinals quarterback Gardner Minshew II (15) scrambles.
The Green Bay Packers started strong in their joint practice against the Arizona Cardinals but couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing the ones-vs.-ones matchup. Starters won’t play in Friday’s preseason finale for either team.
No problem. The joint-practice battle between the backups ended the same way, which is why my Cardinals vs. Packers predictions look for Arizona to get the win.
Check out our latest NFL picks for more preseason betting analysis.
Cardinals vs Packers prediction
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Cardinals moneyline | 49% |
| Over 34.5 | 59% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code ‘COVERS35‘ and trade $25 on any event contracts — including NFL preseason to get $35!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account 
Who will win Cardinals vs Packers: Cardinals
Kalshi probability: 49%
The Green Bay Packers opened as a 74% favorite to get the win in the team’s final preseason contest. That has narrowed significantly, with Green Bay now holding the slimmest of advantages at 51-49%.
Kyle McCord is trying to win the Green Bay backup quarterback job from veteran Tyrod Taylor. McCord has been efficient but not spectacular in games, passing 24-of-35 for 230 yards, while Taylor has been a 50% passer. McCord hasn’t thrown any touchdowns, however. Both were shaky against the Arizona Cardinals’ defense in practice, throwing interceptions on their first attempts. McCord also missed a wide-open receiver on his second pass.
Arizona’s Gardner Minshew and Kedon Slovis have been much better in the preseason, giving the Cardinals a quarterback edge. Slovis was 9-of-10 in one game and 7-of-9 in another.
TOP PICK
Cardinals vs Packers Over/Under pick: Over 34.5
Kalshi probability: 59%
That point total is extremely low, and the probability is too high to really be interesting. If possible, I’d boost the total by two points and take Over 36.5 at 45%. Neither team has gone Over this preseason. The three Cardinals games have produced 63, 41, and 47 points, and only 28 points have come in the first quarters of those games. So the fact that the starters aren’t playing shouldn’t slow down the scoring.
The two Packers contests have produced 46 and 37 points, and both games have seen double-digit scoring in the fourth quarter.
The Packers identified “finishing games” as a priority after several high-profile collapses last season. They did just the opposite in the joint practice, starting fast and fading. So look for Green Bay to keep pressing the gas, even as the likely cuts take the field in the waning moments. Some late scoring should help keep this game Over.
COVERS INTEL: Minshew has been very efficient in his two preseason games, passing 33-of-39 for 278 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Slovis is 18-of-26 for 211 yards and one score. Minshew also threw a touchdown pass against Green Bay in the joint practice.Cardinals vs Packers trend to know
Including the preseason, Green Bay and Arizona have each gone Over in six of their last eight games.
Cardinals vs Packers live odds
More Covers NFL betting tools
Cardinals vs Packers weather
The tundra is not frozen yet. Temperatures in Green Bay will be in the 70s at kickoff before potentially dropping into the high 60s. Conditions should be partly cloudy with little wind, so weather shouldn’t have much impact on the game.
How to watch Cardinals vs Packers
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
| Date | Friday, Aug. 28, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | KPHO, WGBA |
Cardinals vs Packers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.