Updated:
Sep 1, 2026 , 10:05 PM ET
• 4 min read
Arthur Fils loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas shook up the Men’s side of things while Aryna Sabalenka continues to roll in Queen’s.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Carlos Alcaraz ATP Tour
Arthur Fils’ upset loss to Stefanos Tsitsipas delivered the biggest shock of the day at the US Open and another shakeup to the 2026 US Open odds at DraftKings Predictions.
Carlos Alcaraz has surged from 32% to 39% following his straight-set victory over Roman Safiullin, a performance that also helped ease concerns surrounding his wrist. Alexander Zverev remains second at 22%, while Ben Shelton has climbed to 12%.
Fils’ elimination removes one of the biggest beneficiaries of Novak Djokovic’s opening-round exit from the board and further opens the men’s draw.
On the women’s side, two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka continues to lead the market at 24%, with Coco Gauff climbing to 19% and Iga Swiatek sitting third at 16%.
Here are the latest US Open tennis odds at DraftKings Predictions following another eventful day at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York.
2026 US Open men’s singles odds
| Name | DK Predictions Probability |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 39% |
| Alexander Zverev | 22% |
| Ben Shelton | 12% |
| Taylor Fritz | 8% |
| Rafael Jodar | 6% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 5% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 5% |
| Flavio Cobolli | 3% |
| Jakub Mensik | 3% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 3% |
Percentages courtesy of DK Predictions as of Sept. 1.
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US Open men’s singles favorites and analysis
Carlos Alcaraz has strengthened his position as the US Open favorite at DraftKings Predictions, surging from 32% to 39% following his straight-set victory over Roman Safiullin.
The performance also helped ease concerns surrounding Alcaraz’s wrist, giving the market more confidence in the Spaniard as the tournament moves deeper into the draw.
Alexander Zverev remains second but has slipped slightly from 23% to 22%, while Ben Shelton continues to climb, moving from 10% to 12%.
Taylor Fritz remains steady at 8%, while Rafael Jodar has dropped from 8% to 6%. Daniil Medvedev has slipped from 6% to 5%, tying him with Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Flavio Cobolli has entered the Top 10 at 3%, joining Jakub Mensik and Frances Tiafoe.
2026 US Open women’s singles odds
| Name | DK Predictions Probability |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 24% |
| Coco Gauff | 19% |
| Iga Swiatek | 16% |
| Jessica Pegula | 10% |
| Naomi Osaka | 7% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 7% |
| Elena Rybakina | 5% |
| Amanda Anisimova | 5% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 4% |
| Alex Eala | 4% |
US Open women’s singles favorites and analysis
Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka remains the US Open favorite at DraftKings Predictions, moving back up from 23% to 24%.
Coco Gauff has continued her climb and now sits second at 19%, up from 16%, while Iga Swiatek has also ticked up from 15% to 16%.
Jessica Pegula has made one of the biggest moves on the board, jumping from 7% to 10%. Naomi Osaka and Mirra Andreeva are tied at 7%.
Elena Rybakina remains at 5% as the market continues to weigh concerns about her Achilles injury, while Amanda Anisimova is also at 5%.
Marta Kostyuk has slipped from 5% to 4%, while Alex Eala remains at 4% to round out the Top 10.
Previous US Open singles champions
Here are the US Open singles champions for the last 10 years.
| Year | Men’s Champion | Women’s Champion |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Carlos Alcaraz | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic | Coco Gauff |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz | Iga Swiatek |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | Emma Raducanu |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem | Naomi Osaka |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal | Bianca Andreescu |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic | Naomi Osaka |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal | Sloane Stephens |
| 2016 | Stan Wawrinka | Angelique Kerber |
US Open trends
- The last non-European player to win the Men’s Singles title was Juan Martin del Potro in 2009.
- Roger Federer is the only player to repeat as Men’s Singles champion since 2000, winning five consecutive titles (2004-08).
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US Open Tennis Odds FAQs
Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are favored to win the 2026 US Open.
Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka won the 2025 US Open championships.
USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York will host from August 23 to September 13.