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Todd Zola
Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day’s slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET
, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today’s MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.
Jump to: Pitching notes | Hitting notes | Betting tips
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Pitchers to stream on Sunday
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Andrew Heaney‘s strikeout rate is pacing to be a career low. One game isn’t enough to turn things around, but facing the Chicago White Sox and the league’s third lowest strikeout rate facing left-handers should get the Pittsburgh Pirates southpaw headed in the right direction.
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Janson Junk is riding a three-game quality start streak. He’s not missing many bats, but he’s not walking many and keeping the ball in the yard. With the Miami Marlins hosting the Kansas City Royals, Junk is in a great spot to pick up where he left off before the break. The Royals don’t fan much, but they don’t coax many walks and lack power, feeding into Junk’s fortes.
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Assuming Clayton Kershaw isn’t mic’d up like he was at the All-Star game, broadcasting what he’s about to throw to the Milwaukee Brewers batters, the veteran lefty should produce another solid effort. He registered a quality start in three of his five outings heading into the break, posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over those 30 innings. Kershaw fanned only 20, but going deep into the games with run support provided by the potent Los Angeles Dodgers lineup is a solid recipe for streaming.
Hitters to stream on Sunday
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Pirates’ batters, especially the left-handers, are in a rare favorable spot with Aaron Civale taking the hill in PNC Park. The journeyman righty posted a 5.58 ERA and 1.57 WHIP after being acquired by the White Sox. He fanned just 17 with a generous 15 walks over those 30 2/3 frames. Bryan Reynolds and Spencer Horwitz are the chief targets.
Hitters to avoid on Sunday
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It’s the last scoring day of the extended period so it may be necessary to chase categories in rotisserie scoring. Those needing steals should be wary of Miami Marlins’ Xavier Edwards, Dane Myers and Otto Lopez, despite the trio each swiping at least 10 bags this season. They’ll have to contend with the Kansas City Royals, by far the best at controlling the running game.
Betting tips
Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Because odds typically do not get set until the previous day’s games are completed, betting tips will be added in the morning.
