The players below are the ones I’m looking at for NFL DFS GPP considerations this week. Salaries marked with an * indicate a strong value in pricing difference on FanDuel.
Week 10 NFL DFS GPP Advice & Picks
Quarterbacks
Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) @ CHI | DraftKings: $5,700/FanDuel: $7,700
Jaxson Dart is thriving on the ground with four straight games with rushing touchdowns. Despite a subpar receiving corps, Dart has been productive through the air, and this week’s matchup against the Chicago Bears defense could be the perfect spot to combine rushing scores with big passing volume.
The Bears have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, and Chicago is a 4.5-point favorite with a 47.5-point total, meaning the game will lean towards Dart increasing pass volume. Rostership should be reasonable this week. Monitor the weather in this game, but Dart’s rushing upside could negate any issue.
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) @ MIN | DraftKings: $6,800/FanDuel: $9,000
Lamar Jackson will be popular, but his rostership should come in lower than Josh Allen‘s, making him a reasonable GPP play. Jackson has been excellent this season, finishing as a top-10 quarterback in every game outside of his partial outing against Kansas City. His production was a bit low for the price last week, but this week’s matchup against Minnesota is extremely quarterback-friendly.
The Vikings’ defense has fallen apart, and Jackson should dominate. While stacking is viable, playing him naked rather than pairing him with a chalky Zay Flowers, who’s had underwhelming production recently, can help you differentiate.
Drake Maye (QB – NE) @ TB | DraftKings: $6,400/FanDuel: $8,200
The Buccaneers versus Patriots game has one of the highest point totals on the slate, with Tampa Bay as a 2.5-point favorite. Week 9 was Drake Maye’s least productive game since Week 5, and this matchup presents an excellent bounce-back opportunity.
On paper, Tampa looks tough against the pass, but those numbers are inflated due to facing subpar quarterbacks. Passers capable of throwing with volume have had no problem moving the ball against the Bucs’ defense. They have struggled offensively over the past few games, but they typically push pace and volume, forcing teams into shootouts. Rostership should be reasonable, with Maye priced only $400 below Lamar Jackson and $600 below Josh Allen on DraftKings.
Additional Considerations
Running Backs
Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) @ MIN | DraftKings: $6,800/FanDuel: $8,400
Derrick Henry has bounced back, but his pricing remains very reasonable considering he has the same ceiling as several higher-priced players. His rostership should be modest because the general perception of the Minnesota defense is stronger than its actual performance.
Minnesota’s defense has struggled to stop the run all season. While they shut down Detroit’s backfield last week, they’ve allowed massive performances to Kimani Vidal, Quinshon Judkins, Kenneth Gainwell and both Atlanta backs.
James Cook (RB – BUF) @ MIA | DraftKings: $7,500/FanDuel: $9,200
James Cook is questionable, but if he’s active, he’s got an ideal matchup against the Miami defense, which has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Cook faced Miami back in Week 3 and had over 100 rushing yards and a touchdown, finishing as RB8 that week.
Cook’s ceiling is actually higher, and he’s exceeded that production multiple times this season. With Josh Allen potentially the highest-rostered quarterback on the slate, playing Cook would be a strong contrarian play.
If Cook is unable to play, the pivot is Ray Davis. He is priced at $4,500 on DraftKings. While Cook’s rostership would be reasonable, Davis would likely be extremely chalky due to the low pricing, but given the matchup, he’d still be well worth the play.
D’Andre Swift (RB – CHI) vs. NYG | DraftKings: $6,100/FanDuel: $7,100*
D’Andre Swift’s rostership will likely rise once he’s fully cleared for the week. However, he benefits from being priced extremely close to Rico Dowdle on DraftKings, which should keep his rostership in check.
The Giants have struggled to stop the run recently and have given up the second-most fantasy points to running backs this season. While Kyle Monangai performed well in Swift’s Week 9 absence, Swift should assume the bulk of the workload and offers a top-five ceiling while being just the 11th-highest-priced running back on the slate.
Additional Considerations
Wide Receivers
Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) vs. NYG | DraftKings: $6,000/FanDuel: $7,600
Rome Odunze’s complete lack of production was inexcusable in Week 9 in an advantageous matchup and a game where Caleb Williams thrived. DJ Moore was the focal point, while Odunze was left with zero receptions on just three targets.
Odunze’s volatile production will result in low rostership, making him a strong contrarian play. Expect a bounce-back performance against a Giants defense that has been inconsistent against the pass. Again, monitor the weather in this game.
Wan’Dale Robinson (WR – NYG) @ CHI | DraftKings: $5,300/FanDuel: $6,000*
Despite being the clear No. 1 WR for the Giants, Wan’Dale Robinson remains very reasonably priced in an excellent matchup against the Bears. Robinson has been performing closer to his floor in recent games, but the Giants have mostly faced tough matchups against the pass.
This week’s matchup should be a breath of fresh air, and Robinson actually carries a fairly high ceiling since Brian Daboll has diversified his usage and increased his downfield opportunities. He’s a perfect pairing with Jaxson Dart or a strong one-off play. Rostership should remain reasonable despite the good pricing. Weather concerns would likely impact him less, with his role being primarily out of the slot
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI) @ SEA | DraftKings: $5,300/FanDuel: $6,600
Despite coming off his best performance of the season, the pricing on Marvin Harrison Jr. remains excellent for his ceiling. This week’s matchup against Seattle is tough, but it could lead to more fantasy production through the air because of Seattle’s offensive success. The Seahawks have looked better against the pass recently, but that’s largely matchup-driven.
They allowed big games to receivers earlier in the season, including Harrison in the first matchup, where he had six receptions for 66 yards and a touchdown. That game was with Kyler Murray at the helm, but Jacoby Brissett has been pushing aggressive volume as the starter. Despite excellent pricing, Harrison’s volatility has him overlooked in rostership, making him a strong GPP play.
Tez Johnson (WR – TB) vs. NE | DraftKings: $4,500/FanDuel: $5,800
Emeka Egbuka will be an extremely popular play this week, but those looking for a lower-priced value play with good upside can turn to Tez Johnson.
Johnson is operating as the clear No. 2 WR and plays very well off Egbuka. He’s shown a safe floor with a solid ceiling, despite Baker Mayfield‘s recent struggles. The Patriots have a solid defense overall, but they’ve been vulnerable through the air, and No. 2 WRs have found success against them.
Additional Considerations
Tight Ends
Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF) @ MIA | DraftKings: $4,300/FanDuel: $6,200
There’s a deep tight end pool this week, and Dalton Kincaid is going slightly overlooked. Kincaid is the fourth-highest-priced tight end on DraftKings, which is helping keep his rostership lower since he’s priced close to higher-perceived ceiling options like George Kittle and Sam LaPorta. However, Kincaid has thrived this season and is coming off a 22-point performance against Kansas City.
Kincaid has posted at least 15 fantasy points in four of his seven games this season and draws an excellent matchup against Miami. In their prior meeting, Kincaid had 18 points against Miami in Week 3 and offers the same upside this week.
Additional Considerations
D/ST
Cleveland D/ST @ New York Jets | DraftKings: $2,900/FanDuel: $4,600
Cost-effective defenses are plentiful in Week 10 with multiple options available below $3,000 on DraftKings. You could pay up for a defense this week, but the projected points for the Browns are even with the higher-priced options.
The Jets’ offense bounced back against Cincinnati in the last game, but Justin Fields has struggled to produce outside of facing terrible defenses, and the salary discount can help you pay up at other positions.
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