Kyle LaRusic
• Betting Analyst
5+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 29, 2026 , 01:54 PM ET
• 4 min read
Our Warriors vs. Nuggets computer picks have six projections for you to add to your NBA picks for this prime-time matchup!
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Nikola Jokic (15) against the Phoenix Suns at Mortgage Matchup Center.
The Denver Nuggets are on a five-game win streak and welcome the injury-riddled Golden State Warriors to town on Sunday, March 29.
Our NBA player prop projections have you covered with high-value NBA picks for this matchup.
If you want deeper analysis, look no further than our Warriors vs. Nuggets predictions.
Warriors vs Nuggets computer picks for March 29
 Warriors |
 Nuggets |
|---|---|
| Green o8.5 points -105 |
Watson u11.5 points -110 |
| Santos o4.5 rebounds -150 |
Jokic o1.5 threes +115 |
| Porzingis o19.5 points -115 |
Murray o23.5 points -112 |
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Warriors computer picks
Draymond Green Over 8.5 points (-105)
Projection: 11.2 points
This is a five-star play according to our projections, with the numbers expecting Draymond Green to reach double digits. Both the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets rank in the Top 10 in pace over the last five games, meaning plenty of extra possessions.
With no Steph in the lineup, Draymond hasn’t shied away from taking a few extra shots to help his team win.
🔥 Bet green Now at bet365!
Gui Santos Over 4.5 rebounds (-150)
Projection: 6.7 rebounds
This is another five-star play for tonight’s matchup, with Gui Santos looking to crash the glass for the Dubs. Missing bodies have opened up minutes for Santos, and he’s put those minutes to good use.
He’s started back-to-back games and has seen 30+ minutes of action in three straight outings. With so much floor time, he can corral five boards.
🔥 Bet santos Now at bet365!
Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 points (-115)
Projection: 21.4 points
Kristaps Porzingis has been balling for the Dubs in recent outings and is coming off a 28-point performance over Washington. The stretch big is finally starting to find his rhythm with Golden State, and 20 points is a very attainable number.
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Nuggets computer picks
Peyton Watson Under 11.5 points (-110)
Projection: 9.9 points
Peyton Watson is coming off a miserable shooting performance, and our projections expect that to continue. The 23-year-old only went for 10 points in his last meeting against the Dubs, and they’ll do enough to contain him again tonight.
🔥 Bet WatsonNow at bet365!
Nikola Jokic Over 1.5 threes (+115)
Projection: 1.9 threes
Nikola Jokic has hit two or more threes in five of his last 10 games, and the Nuggets are the most efficient 3-point shooting team this season. Jokic will have no problem firing away against this mediocre Golden State defense.
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Jamal Murray Over 23.5 points (-112)
Projection: 24.8 points
Not many players are hotter than Jamal Murray, who is scoring 31.6 points per game over his last five outings. Murray is in the midst of a career year, and the injury-riddled Warriors don’t have anyone to slow down the Denver PG.
🔥 Bet murray Now at bet365!
How to watch Warriors vs Nuggets tonight
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Sunday, March 29, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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