For the first time since the preseason, the Philadelphia Eagles are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
With an important NFC win over Detroit on Sunday night, the Eagles moved past their Super Bowl LIX adversary, the Kansas City Chiefs, in the latest BetMGM Super Bowl odds.
The defending champions entered the 2025 season as favorites, but it hasn’t proved easy for anyone to stay on top this season. Philadelphia immediately lost its foothold after Week 1 thanks to Buffalo’s thrilling Sunday night comeback win over Baltimore. The Bills stayed at No. 1 until Week 7, when Kansas City took over. Now, with the Chiefs falling to the Broncos on Sunday, a third team is Super Bowl favorite over the first 11 weeks of the regular season.
In a season with no juggernaut teams and seemingly weekly upsets, there’s plenty of viable teams still involved — including the red-hot Rams, the revitalized Bills and, even at 5-5 and ninth in AFC playoff seeding, the Chiefs.
Live Super Bowl odds
Philadelphia and Los Angeles take the top two spots
Sunday night’s win for Philadelphia (+550) put it past the Chiefs and also slightly ahead of the Los Angeles Rams (+600). Following Week 10, both the Eagles and the Rams were tied for second at +700 odds behind Kansas City.
Denver’s win over the Chiefs allowed the NFC’s top two teams to push to the top of the market. It didn’t hurt that both of them knocked off strong NFC playoff contenders in Week 11 wins.
For the Eagles, Vic Fangio’s defense looks recharged after the bye and trade deadline acquisition of Jaelan Phillips from Miami. Holding Green Bay and Detroit to two combined touchdowns and single-digit points reflects an incredible stretch from the league’s lowest-paid defense.
Despite a sluggish offense that’s now dealing with an injury to right tackle Lane Johnson, Philadelphia is still doing enough to win. If the Eagles’ offense figures things out, and star running back Saquon Barkley plays remotely close to last season’s 2,000-yard effort, Philadelphia can push for back-to-back titles.
The Rams haven’t trailed since Week 6, when Baltimore kicked a first-half field goal to take a 3-0 lead. Putting on a clinic over the last month during a five-game winning streak, Los Angeles is dissecting opponents with a precise offense and a defense that has allowed the second-fewest points in the league.
Quarterback Matthew Stafford, in his 17th season, is the unlikely leader of the MVP race. Stafford maintains an incredible seven-week stretch that includes 22 touchdown passes to zero interceptions. The next month could dictate the season for Los Angeles. The Rams face four teams above .500 in a five-week span, hosting Tampa Bay and Detroit before an NFC West rematch in Seattle.
Kansas City and Buffalo tied atop AFC teams
Familiar AFC rivals Kansas City and Buffalo had very different paths to their +850 Super Bowl odds. The Chiefs were +550 before a road loss to Denver. Buffalo climbed up from +900 after a shootout home win over the Buccaneers.
Bouncing back from a shocking road loss in Miami, Buffalo relied on a six-touchdown performance from quarterback Josh Allen to earn that win. The Bills trail New England in the AFC East but get a second shot at the Patriots on the road in Week 15. Even though Buffalo is currently the fifth seed in the AFC, the team’s postseason track record is stronger than any other in the conference outside Kansas City.
As for the Chiefs? Beat reporter Jesse Newell from The Athletic explains Kansas City’s extraordinary odds despite its mediocre season:
“It’s actually remarkable that the Chiefs remain tied as the AFC’s most-likely team to win the Super Bowl, given they aren’t even a lock at this point to make the playoffs,” Newell said. “The Athletic’s Playoff Simulator gives Kansas City roughly a 57 percent chance of reaching the postseason, which means sportsbooks pushing the Chiefs this high is a bet on the team not only playing well down the stretch, but also making a significant run through a likely string of road playoff games.
“Look at the under-the-hood numbers, and the Chiefs certainly seem capable of reeling off a bunch of wins late. K.C.’s offense, for example, has scored on 48.9 percent of its possessions per TruMedia, which is the second-best mark of the Patrick Mahomes era and also easily ahead of the pace of the last three years’ teams that each made the Super Bowl.
“The Chiefs’ biggest issue now is being as un-clutch as a team can be — something that’s unfortunate but doesn’t seem like it should have much staying power. After going 12-0 in one-score games last season, the Chiefs are 0-5 in those same contests this year. It seems illogical to think that K.C. has completely forgotten all ability to win in these settings, so a bounce-back seems likely during this season’s latter half. The Chiefs still have lots of standings-ground to make up, though, which is why their Super Bowl odds aren’t what they once were.”
Things don’t get any easier for Kansas City with Indianapolis coming to town off a bye week. The Chiefs also host the Chargers and Denver in December for AFC West rematches.
Market mostly stays the same for secondary teams
While the top four teams in the Super Bowl odds shuffled around, the secondary teams mostly stayed the same during a slow Week 11.
Attempting to keep pace with the leaders, the Lions (+900) are searching for answers on offense as head coach Dan Campbell continues to call plays. Detroit fell to the Eagles and dropped from +750 odds the week before. Detroit shockingly finds itself in third place in the NFC North thanks to the surprising Chicago Bears and second-place Green Bay Packers.
The Indianapolis Colts (+1100) maintained the same odds after their bye week. A critical AFC matchup at Kansas City is next, and a difficult December stretch includes four straight against playoff hopefuls — including two against AFC South rival Jacksonville.
Next come the Seattle Seahawks (+1200) and Baltimore Ravens (+1200). After falling to the Rams, Seattle dropped from +1000. The Seahawks get three straight winnable games before back-to-back contests hosting the Colts and Rams.
Baltimore’s Michael Myers-paced ascent up the AFC standings continued with an unexpectedly close win at Cleveland. The Ravens play the Jets once and Bengals twice over their next four games, which means Baltimore could be 9-5 after starting the season 1-5.
Even with the big home win over Kansas City, the Broncos (+1500) only rose slightly from +1800. Denver currently sits atop the AFC playoff picture but is ninth in Super Bowl odds. The Broncos control the AFC West, but an inconsistent passing game remains a storyline to follow in the final weeks.
Inconsistent as always, the Green Bay Packers (+1600) beat the Giants to move from +1500 odds.
With eight straight wins culminating in Thursday night’s victory over the Jets, the New England Patriots (+1600) climbed slightly from +2000.
Boosted significantly with a win over Arizona, the San Francisco 49ers (+3000) jumped from previous +5000 odds. With quarterback Brock Purdy and receiver Ricky Pearsall among a group of Niners returning from injury, optimism is rising for San Francisco’s stretch run.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3000) are the only other team with better than +5000 odds after a road loss in Buffalo. Losers of three of their last four games, the Bucs’ once-firm grasp on the NFC South and a playoff spot is slipping.