Best Odds at Prediction Markets Like Kalshi

We break down the odds available for Chargers vs. Patriots at prediction markets, ahead of their Wild Card Round game.

Jan 10, 2026 • 21:00 ET

• 4 min read

Sunday Night Football lends its hand to the New England Patriots hosting the Los Angeles Chargers on Wild Card Weekend. 

In the past, fans without access to regulated sportsbooks had limited options to wager on our Chargers vs. Patriots predictions. However, Kalshi has changed that. 

We’ll break down how Chargers vs. Patriots odds have been moving in prediction markets and share our top plays for this matchup.

Chargers/Patriots predictions

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Who will win Chargers vs Patriots at prediction markets?

Currently, the Patriots are priced at 63 cents to win — a 63% implied probability or -170 odds — while the Chargers are trading at 37 cents, implying a 37% chance (+170 odds).

Our prediction: New England to win

Jason Logan expects the Patriots’ home-field advantage to be a huge factor, as Los Angeles is used to playing inside the fast track of SoFi Stadium.

J-Lo anticipates a lower-scoring, grind-it-out affair, and he sees New England moving on to the next round.

See more of Jason’s analysis in his Chargers vs. Patriots predictions.

Chargers vs Patriots props at prediction markets

Beyond the winner of the game, there are several other markets available for Chargers vs. Patriots at Kalshi, including the spread, total, and team total for the game, plus player touchdown props and quarterback passing markets.

Explain how you can buy either side of a market — for example, “Yes” on Patriots -3.5 means the Patriots will cover, while “No” on Patriots -3.5 means the Chargers will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter)

Chargers vs Patriots spread and total at prediction markets

Our predictions: Patriots -3.5 and Under 45.5

Our Chargers vs. Patriots early leans believe Gillette Stadium gives the hosts an added edge, with the cold temperatures expected to freeze out Justin Herbert & Co.

We also anticipate a low-scoring affair given the elements, while both the Chargers and Patriots defenses remain stingy when it comes to giving up big plays through the air.

Kalshi also provides extra lines for those looking at alternate spreads and totals, from New England -4.5 to -17.5, plus a range of alternate total options ranging from 48.5 to 57.5.

Chargers vs Patriots touchdown props at prediction markets

Our predictions: Hunter Henry and Keenan Allen

Hunter Henry and Keenan Allen spearhead our Chargers vs. Patriots anytime touchdown picks, with Ed Scimia banking on the two veterans setting the tone inside the red zone. 

At Kalshi, you can place ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ bets on touchdown props, as well as wager on multiple touchdowns and the first touchdown scorer.

Other Chargers vs Patriots props available at prediction markets

What is Kalshi and how does it work?

Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade “Event Contracts” which are simple Yes/No questions like “Will the Eagles win this Sunday?” These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?

In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a “vig,” which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your “Yes” shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.

Why should I wager on Chargers vs Patriots at Kalshi?

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:

1. Flexibility: Unlike a “locked-in” bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
2. Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
3. Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
4. Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren’t yet legal.

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