Rob Paul
• Betting Analyst
5+ years betting experience
Updated:
Jul 25, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET
• 4 min read
Without Bo Levi Mitchell, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats’ offense won’t be able to do enough to keep this game close in Montreal, per our CFL expert.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Montreal Alouettes quarterback Davis Alexander (10) looks to pass.
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats take on the Eastern Conference-leading Montreal Alouettes on Sunday at 7 p.m. ET (TSN) from Percival Molson Memorial Stadium in Montreal.
With Bo Levi Mitchell still out for Hamilton, the CFL odds have Montreal as an 11.5-point betting favorite, and my Tiger-Cats vs. Alouettes predictions and CFL picks project a big win for the home team.
Who will win Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes: Alouettes -11.5 (-110)
Without Bo Levi Mitchell, the Hamilton Tiger-Cats’ offense has been hard to watch. Hamilton is averaging just 14.7 PPG in its last three outings, and the last time they were on the road against a Grey Cup odds favorite, they were blown out.
This game against the Montreal Alouettes should go pretty similarly to that 38-7 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Als’ offense is dominant – No. 2 in PPG (34.7) and No. 1 in yards per game (460.7) – and Hamilton just won’t be able to keep up.
With Davis Alexander at the helm, Montreal should be capable of scoring 30+ at home, while Hamilton will likely struggle to put up more than 20. The Tiger-Cats average league lows in PPG (24.8) and yards per game (340.0).
Though this is a large spread for the Alouettes to cover, they’re 4-2 ATS this season and have a clear advantage here. However, I’d avoid betting Montreal if this spread goes beyond -12.5.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account 
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes total prediction: Under 56.5 (-105)
Hamilton cannot score consistently without Mitchell. The Tiger-Cats have the worst offense in the CFL, and have scored fewer than 14 points in two of their last three games – they’ve hit the Under in three straight.
But it’s not just Hamilton’s no-show offense that should help the Under hit; its defense has been competent this season. The Tiger-Cats are allowing the third-fewest PPG in the league (26.5) and the fourth-fewest yards (374.2).
If the Tiger-Cats can hold Montreal to fewer than 35 points, their offense should do the rest of the work for the Under.
The Under is worth considering as long as this game total stays above 54.5.
COVERS INTEL: Since 2023, the Alouettes are 7-2-1 ATS when playing the Tiger-Cats.Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes same-game parlay
With the way the Alouettes are playing, they’re in good shape to win this game in the range of 34-10. Hamilton’s offense is too sporadic without Mitchell, and its defense won’t be able to slow Alexander and Tyson Philpot for four quarters.
Even with Mitchell under center in Week 1, Hamilton lost at home to Montreal and failed to cover as a 2.5-point underdog.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes SGP
- Alouettes -10.5
- Under 56.5
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes weather
The weather in Montreal likely won’t have much impact on the game, with temperatures expected to be around 25 Celsius (77 Fahrenheit) and winds from the south-southwest hovering around 9 km/h (5.5 mph). The chance of precipitation is just 8%.
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes odds
- Spread: Tiger-Cats +10.5 (-105) | Alouettes -10.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Tiger-Cats +410 | Alouettes -550
- Over/Under: Over 56.5 (-115) | Under 56.5 (-105)
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes key injuries
Tiger-Cats: Bo Levi Mitchell QB (OUT), Shemar Bridges WR (Questionable), Jonathan Denis OL (Questionable), Arvin Hosseini OL (Questionable), Charbel Dabire DL (Questionable), TyJuan Garbutt DL (Questionable), Braxton Hill LB (Questionable).
Alouettes: DeVonte Dedmon WR (Questionable), Jerreth Sterns WR (Questionable), David Dallaire FB (Questionable), Justin Lawrence OL (Questionable), Des Holmes OL (Questionable), Gabriel Lessard LB (Questionable), Kabion Ento DB (Questionable).
Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes trend
The Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
How to watch Tiger-Cats vs Alouettes and game info
| Location | Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC |
| Date | Sunday, July 26, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.