Ryan Murphy
• Managing Editor
27+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 11, 2026 , 09:21 PM ET
• 4 min read
Rory McIlroy’s seemingly insurmountable Masters lead is gone. We asked ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude to make their 2026 Masters Sunday picks after weighing odds, form, and Augusta fit.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Rory McIlroy tees off on the fourth hole during the third round of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club.
The Masters has always sold itself as “a tradition unlike any other,” but at Augusta National, tradition often gives way to theater.
Through two rounds of the 2026 tournament, Rory McIlroy looked ready to author another unforgettable chapter, storming to a record six-shot lead after 36 holes. The defending champion seemed on cruise control, one steady round away from another green jacket, until Saturday brought a stunning twist: a ragged 1-over 73 that cracked the door wide open.
Now the question hanging over Augusta is impossible to ignore: Which Rory will show up on Sunday?
To find out, we turned to the massive computing power of ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude. After weighing the latest Masters odds, recent form, and course fit, each made its call on how the final round will unfold.
See which way the models are leaning before locking in your Masters picks for Sunday.
2026 Masters predictions
| Platform | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT |  Rory McIlory |
+155 |
| Gemini |  Cameron Young |
+240 |
| Claude | Cameron Young |
+240 |
ChatGPT: Rory McIlroy
McIlroy is still my outright pick, and the deeper case is that Augusta now sets up almost perfectly for the version of Rory we’re seeing. BetMGM has him in a separate “Rory McIlroy/Rest of field” market at +155, which tells you how aggressively the book is pricing his win equity.
He opened the week by building a historic six-shot 36-hole lead with a second-round 65, then even after a messy Saturday, including trouble at Amen Corner and poor driving accuracy, he still finished the day tied for the lead. That matters: he did not have his best ball-striking round and still retained co-control of the tournament.
McIlroy’s improved wedge play and freer mindset after finally winning here in 2025 all strengthen the case that he closes on Sunday.
Gemini: Cameron Young
While McIlroy remains the co-favorite, the psychological weight of Saturday’s collapse is hard to ignore. McIlroy saw his record-breaking six-shot lead vanish behind a double-bogey on 11 and a shaky finish on 17.
Meanwhile, Cameron Young was the day’s true protagonist, firing a 7-under 65 to pull level at -11. Young’s ball-striking was surgical, and more importantly, he looked unbothered by the Augusta pressure.
Given Rory’s history of “Sunday scar tissue” when things get tight, the value and momentum sit squarely with Young. Expect him to keep his foot on the gas while Rory battles the nerves of defending a vanishing lead.
Claude: Cameron Young
Cameron Young shot a brilliant 65 to Rory McIlroy’s 73 on Saturday, making eight birdies and one bogey to claw back from six shots down and share the lead at 11-under. That kind of round under pressure — hunting down the defending champion — reveals something about his mental constitution.
McIlroy, meanwhile, had three bogeys and a double, and was visibly rattled through Amen Corner. The psychological momentum clearly belongs to Young. McIlroy struggled with his driving all day, finding trees off the tee on multiple occasions, and Augusta National punishes positional errors ruthlessly.
Young is fresh, confident, and playing the best golf of his week. Sunday is his to win.
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More Masters Round 4 predictions
Not sure which model to believe? You’re in luck! Covers golf expert Neil Parker has made his own Masters Round 4 predictions ahead of the final day of play. Find out why he’s bullish on Rory and believes strongly in the closing power of Wyndham Clark, whom he expects to finish in the Top 20.