Jason Ence
• Betting Analyst
13+ years betting experience
Updated:
Oct 24, 2026 , 04:22 PM ET
• 4 min read
Paris is calling, and the Saints’ defense isn’t picking up.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Jaylen Warren, Tyler Shough, and Juwan Johnson headline Sunday’s showdown in Paris.
Sunday morning will see NFL fans saying “ah, oui oui!” to early morning action as they enjoy the first-ever game played in Paris, France.
Our Steelers vs. Saints prop picks are keying on Pittsburgh’s stable of backs and the pass-heavy attack led by Tyler Shough.
For more NFL picks, be sure to check out Neil Parker’s full Steelers vs. Saints predictions ahead of this contest on Oct. 25, with kickoff set for 9:30 a.m. ET.
Best Steelers vs Saints props
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jaylen Warren 100+ rushing and receiving yards |
48% |
 Tyler Shough 1+ interceptions |
54% |
| Juwan Johnson 40+ receiving yards |
40% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Prop pick #1: Jaylen Warren 100+ rushing and receiving yards
Rico Dowdle is back for the Pittsburgh Steelers, but there are plenty of yards to go around in the backfield against this New Orleans Saints defense.
The Saints are allowing nearly 117 rushing yards per game, rank dead last in EPA/rush, and have already allowed three backs to rack up 117 total yards or more.
Jaylen Warren has been targeted four or more times out of the backfield in every game this season and is averaging 1.73 yards per route run.
Over 36% of Warren’s rushing yards have come on breakaway runs, and he ranks third among qualified backs in yards after contact per rushing attempt.
If Warren gets a strong share of carries, as he did last week, he’ll put up enough yards against this Saints defense to eclipse his total.
I’m trading this to 51%.
Prop pick #2: Tyler Shough 1+ interceptions
I was quite surprised to see this trading at 54% and would trade it up to 57%.
When kept clean, Tyler Shough has been great. However, his production has dropped off significantly under pressure, and he’s been sacked on 13 of 97 such plays.
The Steelers rank fifth in the NFL in takeaways per game, and their 2.99% interception rate is seventh-best in the league. Add in a strong pass rush that recorded five sacks last week, and Shough will likely be forced into plenty of difficult throws.
With Shough ranking third in the NFL in passing attempts, there should be plenty of opportunities for the Steelers to come away with another pick.
Prop pick #3: Juwan Johnson 40+ receiving yards
That aforementioned pressure is why I’m high on Juwan Johnson having a bounce-back week. In his first four games, he cleared 50 yards in each while hauling in 21 of 26 targets.
Over the past two weeks, he’s been targeted just six times, with his routes run cut in half. However, with Pittsburgh’s pass rush giving Shough trouble, Johnson could become an important security blanket.
Pittsburgh hasn’t been great at defending tight ends this season, and injuries in the secondary mean Chris Olave is likely to draw some extra attention.
If Johnson can get matched up against a linebacker in the slot, where he’s lined up 101 times — the second most of any Saints player — he could add to his average of 5.2 yards after the catch per reception.
Play this up to 45%.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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