DraftKings Best Ball: ADP Risers & Fallers

Dulcich looks like the favorite player not named De’Von Achane to soak up some of the 134 targets vacated by Jaylen Waddle/Waller. He had an excellent receiving profile coming out of UCLA, with 68/1,242/10 over his last two seasons, averaging 18.3 YPC. 

Best Ball Angle:
Another reason this climb makes sense is the inflated quarterback market. With QB ADP being pushed up earlier than in past seasons, QBs are harder to stack naturally, and only De’Von Achane is drafted ahead of him among Dolphin skill players. Dulcich is an easy backdoor stack, especially with Malik Washington carrying a less exciting ceiling profile as the next-highest drafted pass catcher. That makes Dulcich a cheap way to access a stack if you missed on your other QB’s you intended to stack. Grab Willis if you missed, then draft Greg D. 

Ryan Flournoy | DAL | WR | +40

Flournoy’s rise is tied to the offseason, which treated him as the clear WR3 behind CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. He’s a breakout weapon who made a splash in 2025 and looks to be rewarded with a bigger role entering this season after beating out Jalen Tolbert last year. He finished 2025 with 40 catches, 475 yards, and four TDs, with little new competition threatening that WR3 role.

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The appeal is Flournoy gives drafters cheap access to a DAL passing offense. Dak naturally gets pushed higher (even though his price is fair) because you have the Lamb and Pickens drafters playing chicken to add him to their roster.  He does not need to beat Lamb or Pickens to matter; he just needs enough route involvement to spike in shootouts and benefit if one of the top two receivers misses time. Part-timer/special teams maven KaVontae Turpin is free, but Flournoy looks like the cleaner Dak backdoor stack because his offensive role is easier to project and his ADP still leaves room for profit. He had two spike weeks last year, scoring 20+ points.

Quentin Johnston | LAC| WR | +36.5

Johnston’s rise is tied to the idea that the Chargers’ new offensive structure may finally match what he does best. Mike McDaniel’s offense could unlock Johnston by prioritizing YAC, an area where Johnston was dangerous as a college prospect. They aren’t shy about tipping their hand that Herbert will be getting the ball out faster this year. LAC picking up his fifth-year option looks like a signal of confidence. 

Best Ball Angle:
Drafters pushed Herbs, Ladd, and Omarion Hampton up draft boards, but Johnston still offers cheap access to the same offense that’s so hawt right now. He does not need to become the clear WR1 to pay off, because his value comes from spike weeks and an improved schemed (later on, Greg Roman offense). With McConkey carrying the safer target profile, Johnston is the more fragile bet, but that’s why he’s priced the way he is. He’s one of five WRs to score 8+ TDs in each of the last two years.

He played 14 games last year and finished with a 21.4% spike week rate in an offense where Justin Herbert was being peeled off the ground constantly. QJ may end up being a good bet as long as the price levels off.

Also, notice how much his draft capital changed. This is the highest riser of all player as of July 8th. This may be a good time of year to cool your jets on Quej until the price levels off.

Jonathon Brooks | CAR | RB | +35.7

Brooks’ rise is tied to his health finally trending in the right direction after he missed all of last season recovering from another right knee ACL injury. The Charlotte Observer noted that Panther legends Jonathan Stewart and Mike Tolbert both spoke highly of his long-term upside in CAR.

He’s a proverbial wild-card pick for 2026, but he’s had enough recovery time to enter camp and Week 1 healthy, while reminding drafters of his college efficiency profile. He wasn’t the 46th overall pick in 2024 for nothing. It’s not uncommon to see fantasy analysts and touts saying, “He could be Rico Dowdle from last year and take over as the dominant fantasy RB for the Panthers.” 

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This is the kind of RB profile drafters love to push up once the injury news flips from rehab concern to camp participation. He does not need a workhorse projection to be appealing, since the bet is simply that he can reclaim the upside that made him a second-round pick. The risk is clear given his injury history and limited NFL sample.

Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | WR | +30.2

Mitchell’s rise is tied to the Jets treating him like more than a throw-in from the Sauce Gardner trade. He posted 24/301/2 in eight games after joining the Jets, and Aaron Glenn called him a true X receiver with speed and one-on-one ability. The offseason buzz has continued, with Geno Smith praising Mitchell’s talent, work habits, and early rapport, while Sports Illustrated cited his chemistry with Smith and a full offseason in NY as reasons he could make a bigger impact in 2026.

Best Ball Angle:
Mitchell is rising because drafters are buying into the idea that the Jets have a real third WR behind Garrett Wilson and the newly acquired first-round pick, Omar Cooper Jr. The risk is that he still has to earn consistent volume on a team that isn’t projected to win many games.

ADP Fallers

Brandon Aiyuk | SF? FA? WTF? | WR | -54.3

I’ll let Levitan take this one, because he nailed it.

How NOT to use social media: A MasterClass by Brandon Aiyuk. pic.twitter.com/c0Nl3BIiYj

— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) July 6, 2026

Aiyuk’s fall is no longer just about his ACL and MCL recovery. The bigger issue is that his path back to a stable role has gotten messy, with SF still able to keep him on the reserve left squad list without forcing a cut or trade. WAS remains “the most logical landing spot” because of his history with Jayden Daniels, but that’s harder to project now after the latest social media fallout.

Best Ball Angle:
This is exactly the type of player the market starts to push down once the uncertainty compounds. Aiyuk still has name value and has shown a real fantasy ceiling in 2023, but drafters are being asked to absorb injury, team, role, and mental instability risk all at once. The problem is that there is no obvious stack to attach him to right now, and even a potential WAS landing spot no longer feels like a gimme. He is only a good bet if you’re confident he signs and you want to get some shares before his price goes up. Keenan Allen skyrocketed last year after he signed, but he didn’t have a fraction (literally, any?) of the baggage Aiyuk does. 

Tyreek Hill | FA | WR |  -43.5

Hill’s fall makes sense because the concern has shifted from where he will sign to whether he will be cleared to play at all this season. Multiple reports state that Hill’s knee injury included a dislocation, a torn ACL, and other ligament damage, with the possibility that he may not be cleared for 2026 at all. At 32 years old with speed still central to his fantasy appeal, he is difficult to draft until there is real medical clearance.

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Same as Aiyuk. He only makes sense if you can buy him at his floor…and I don’t know if that’s possible with the current information we have.

Emmanuel Wilson | SEA | RB | -36.3

Wilson’s fall is tied to his roster path looking shakier than expected, with George Holani and rookie Jadarian Price splitting first-team work while Zach Charbonnet is ahead of schedule in his ACL recovery. He’s only on a one-year deal for $2M. 

Best Ball Angle:
He is more of a late-contingency bet than a role bet right now, since his ceiling requires him to make the roster, outpace multiple backs, and find usable touches in a crowded SEA backfield.

Mike Washington | LV | RB | -35.8

Washington’s fall is tied to LV making it clear that Ashton Jeanty is the centerpiece, with Jeanty saying he wants to play every snap, while Klint Kubiak said the best player is the one that will play (thanks, Cap’n Obvious). He had a weak college production profile and only shot up thanks to a ridiculously strong combine. 

Best Ball Angle:
Washington is more of a Jeanty contingency bet than a standalone role bet right now, so he only becomes interesting if the price keeps falling or camp reports point to a real weekly floor. All that shimmers in this world is sure to fade, and that’s all he’s done since the draft. 

Eli Stowers | PHI | TE | -33

Stowers’ fall is tied to a slow start and bad reports in Eagle offseason practices, but the context matters because not every rookie TE is Brock Bowers or Tyler Warren. He’s basically a big slot and played QB in his formidable years. PHI still views him as a possible future answer for Dallas Goedert.

Best Ball Angle:
Dallas Goedert will block an immediate role and Stowers likely needs camp buzz or early season usage guarantee before drafters should treat him as more than a late TE scratch off. Like Washington, his landing spot poo-pooed on his pre-draft hype.

Draft Capital Risers

A.J. Brown | NE | WR | +15.3

Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed, so the trade itself is not the surprising part.