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    Home»Fantasy»MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (7/28)
    Fantasy

    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (7/28)

    Amanda CollinsBy Amanda CollinsJuly 28, 2025No Comments6 Mins Read0 Views
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    MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (7/28)
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    Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has 12 games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the 12-game slate.

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    MLB DFS Lineup Optimizer

    Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

    Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

    Cristopher Sanchez (SP – PHI) at CWS

    Cristopher Sanchez is on a heater in a season he’s built on a breakout 2024 campaign. According to FanGraphs, Sanchez has had the following stats in the lefty’s previous four starts spanning 30.1 innings.

    • 1.19 ERA
    • 2.03 xFIP
    • 2.06 SIERA
    • 0.86 WHIP
    • Three wins
    • Four quality starts
    • One complete game
    • 3.5 BB%
    • 27.2 K%
    • 71.4 GB%
    • 13.9 SwStr%
    • 35.3 CSW%
    • 118 stuff+
    • 104 location+
    • 126 pitching+

    Sanchez has a favorable matchup and sweet betting info tonight. The White Sox are tied for 12th in wRC+ (97) with a 25.5 K% versus lefties and tied for 28th in wRC+ (83) with a 21.6 K% at home in 2025. Thus, the Phillies are -220, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

    Matthew Boyd (SP – CHC) at MIL

    Sanchez isn’t the only lefty on a heater. Matthew Boyd has tied up offenses in his last four starts, totaling 27 innings. He spun a blistering 0.67 ERA with a 2.88 xFIP, 2.99 SIERA, 0.70 WHIP, 3.1 BB% and 26.8 K%. Boyd earned wins in each of those starts, and each was a quality start. Moreover, he had a 12.5 SwStr%, 29.7 CSW%, 95 stuff+, 116 location+ and 107 pitching+.

    Boyd has a decent matchup and adequate betting info. The Brewers are 10th in wRC+ (100) with a 21.0 K% versus lefties and 23rd in wRC+ (92) with a 21.7 K% at home this year. So, the Cubs are -110, and the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

    Chase Burns (SP – CIN) vs. LAD

    The Red Sox lit up Chase Burns for five earned runs in 0.1 innings in the rookie’s second start in the Majors. Burns coughed up five earned runs in 5.2 innings in his last start, but offset the earned runs with 10 strikeouts. Burns has a 4.64 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 38.5 K% in 21.1 innings in his four non-Red Sox starts. It’s not a pristine profile, but Burns’ elite strikeout ability awards him with a high DFS ceiling tonight.

    The matchup against the Dodgers gives him a low floor and high ceiling, too. Los Angeles is fourth in wRC+ (117) with a 21.7 K% versus righties this season. Yet, they’re tied for ninth in wRC+ (100) with a 24.2 K% on the road. Finally, the Dodgers are 27th in wRC+ (88) with a 24.9 K% in the previous 30 days. So, Burns could reach his ceiling tonight if Los Angeles remains in its funk.

    BettingPros App

    Suggested Lineup Stacks

    JP Sears has been unable to solve the riddle of navigating his hitter-friendly home ballpark. In 43.1 innings at home this year, Sears has a 5.61 ERA, 5.86 xFIP and 1.36 WHIP, coughing up an eye-popping 2.70 HR/9. Additionally, the Athletics’ relievers have the second-highest ERA this season. The Mariners should pile up DFS points tonight.

    Rich Hill had a 5.22 ERA and 4.60 xFIP in 11 starts in Triple-A this year, and his first start for the Majors was a complete fluke. The 45-year-old lefty allowed only three runs (one earned) on six hits and two walks with one strikeout in five innings. The Braves have a mouthwatering matchup tonight against Hill, and they should take advantage of it.

    Core Studs

    • Julio Rodriguez has gone Yahtzee 20 times in 453 plate appearances against lefties since 2023, with a .327 OBP, .192 ISO, .340 wOBA and 126 wRC+.
    • Randy Arozarena is on fire. In his previous 106 plate appearances, he’s hit 12 homers with 22 runs, 20 RBIs, three stolen bases, a .358 OBP, .415 ISO, .437 wOBA and 192 wRC+.
    • Austin Riley has mashed 19 taters with a .339 OBP, .223 ISO, .353 wOBA and 124 wRC+ in 360 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.

    Value Plays/Punts

    • Ozzie Albies has hit nine dingers with a .333 OBP, .160 ISO, .346 wOBA and 119 wRC+ in 357 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023.
    • Carlos Correa has had a .326 OBP, .149 ISO, .319 wOBA and 105 wRC+ in 993 plate appearances against righties since 2023. Conversely, Richard Fitts has allowed a .275 batting average, .302 OBP, .527 SLG and .353 wOBA to 97 righties this season.
    • Mitch Garver has launched 11 long-balls with a .374 OBP, .170 ISO, .354 wOBA and 135 wRC+ in 337 plate appearances against lefties since 2023.

    Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

    Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet partner-arrow

    Ronald Acuna (OF – ATL): 10.5 Fantasy Points – Higher

    Ronald Acuna has hit 13 homers with 46 runs, 24 RBIs, four stolen bases, a .424 OBP, .263 ISO, .424 wOBA, .401 xwOBA and 176 wRC+ in 229 plate appearances against lefties since 2023. Meanwhile, the 555 right-handed batters Hill has faced since 2023 have had a .285 batting average, .343 OBP, .508 SLG and .362 wOBA.

    Cal Raleigh (C, DH – SEA): 9.5 Fantasy Points – Higher

    Cal Raleigh has hit 41 homers with 71 runs, 86 RBIs, 12 stolen bases, a .368 OBP, .361 ISO, .407 wOBA, .381 xwOBA and 171 wRC+ in 457 plate appearances this season. Sears is unlikely to quiet Raleigh’s thunderous bat. Sears has allowed a .269 batting average, .340 OBP, .597 SLG and .395 wOBA to 151 right-handed batters faced at home this season.

    Julio Rodriguez (OF – SEA): 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher

    Rodriguez has the same favorable matchup as Raleigh. J-Rod is also in good form, with seven homers, 19 runs, 13 RBIs, seven stolen bases, a .310 OBP, .248 ISO, .349 wOBA and 132 wRC+ in his previous 113 plate appearances.

    Fantasy Baseball Trade & Waiver Wire Advice


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    Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

    DFS MLB Monday picks player props Underdog
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