DK Lines – LAR @ ATL
Spread: LAR -7.5
Total: 49.5
Team Totals: LAR 28.5, ATL 21.0
DK Sportsbook: The field isn’t concerned with the Falcons tonight.
- Moneyline: 92% LAR | 8% ATL
- Spread: 70% LAR -7 | 21% +7 ATL
- 49.5 Total: 68% over | 32% under
Social Books: No real signals on Novig except a small $3.5k in liquidity, favoring the Rams -6.5. The O/U has a slight lean to the over. ProphetX presents a major signal: $27.5k on the Falcons +7 and another $50k on the Falcons money line between +315 to +305. There’s no signal on the O/U as the bets are split evenly.
Injuries:
- ATL WR Drake London (Q) – knee
- LAR WR Davante Adams (D) – hamstring
- LAR DE Braden Fiske (Q) – ankle
- LAR T Alaric Jackson (Q) – knee
IR/Out:
- ATL QB Michael Penix Jr – IR
- ATL WR KhaDarel Hodge – IR
- ATL CB Mike Hughes – Out
- ATL CB Clark Phillips III – Out
- ATL DT Sam Roberts – Out
- LAR TE Tyler Higbee – IR
- LAR G Kevin Dotson – Out
- LAR CB Josh Wallace – Out
CPT Plays
Puka Nacua $18,300 | FLEX $12,200
To Puka? Or not to Puka? Fading him is ultimate leverage and the riskiest move on this slate. His CPT ownership will fall in the 30-35% range, and it should be after last week’s 16 targets(!) and 12/225/2 line. He led the team in red zone looks with two, too. This is a classic “injuries can happen to anyone,” and I want leverage if something does go south. I’ll cap him at 80% to lean into the unknown in MMEs.
Stack Idea: Puka, Stafford, LAR TE, and another LAR with Bijan and an ATL FLEX.
Chalk alert: when building out Puka CPT lineups, there will be a lot of LAR 51s because the Falcons offense is so concentrated. Know there will be copious lineups with this core:
- Puka CPT
- Stafford
- Bijan
- Parkinson
- Mumpfield
- Sixth FLEX
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