Boston and Denver hook up in the marquee matchup of the night, and our NBA player prop projections have circled some of the best edges in this showdown.
 Celtics |
 Nuggets |
|---|---|
| Pritchard o3.5 rebounds +100 |
Jokic u28.5 points -120 |
| Queta o8.5 points -112 |
Johnson o11.5 points -112 |
| Hauser o9.5 points -115 |
Murray u23.5 points -120 |
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Celtics computer picks
Payton Pritchard Over 3.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 4.5 rebounds
Payton Pritchard plays bigger than his size when it comes to rebounding. He tracks long misses well and stays active around the perimeter. The projection has Pritchard clearing four boards with room to spare, and at plus money, that edge matters.
He’s gone Over this number in three of his last four games.
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Neemias Queta Over 8.5 points (-112)
Projection: 10.0 points
Neemias Queta doesn’t need isolation touches to score. Rim runs, dump-offs, and put-backs are enough to push him toward double digits. The model projects Queta right around 10, giving this Over a clean cushion.
He’s gone Over this number in three straight games with just 21 total field goal attempts.
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Sam Hauser Over 9.5 points (-115)
Projection: 10.9 points
Sam Hauser’s role is simple: space the floor and shoot. If he gets his usual volume from deep, this number is well within reach. The projection puts Hauser close to 11, which makes 10 points a reasonable expectation.
He’s gone Over this total in three of his last four games.
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Nuggets computer picks
Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 points (-120)
Projection: 25.8 points
Nikola Jokic can explode at any time, but the model sees more distribution than domination. If the defense sends help and forces the ball out early, Jokic’s scoring settles into the mid-20s. That gives this Under a solid path.
He’s stayed Under this number in four of his last six games.
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Cameron Johnson Over 11.5 points (-112)
Projection: 12.8 points
Cameron Johnson doesn’t need high usage to clear this number. A few clean looks from three and one trip to the line puts him on pace. The projection has Johnson nearly a full bucket above the line.
He’s gone Over this number in two of his last three games.
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Jamal Murray Under 23.5 points (-120)
Projection: 22.3 points
Jamal Murray’s ceiling is obvious, but the projection leans slightly Under here. If shot volume dips or he shifts into more of a facilitator role, Murray lands closer to 22 than 25. It’s a thin edge — but still an edge.
He’s gone Under this number in two of his last three games.
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How to watch Celtics vs Nuggets tonight
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Wednesday, February 25, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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