Shawn Krest
• Betting Analyst
20+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 23, 2026 , 01:50 PM ET
• 4 min read
Krest’s prediction: The Giannis-less Bucks come up way short against Darius Garland and the Clippers.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. LA Clippers guard Darius Garland (10) dribbles against New Orleans Pelicans guard Jeremiah Fears (0).
The Milwaukee Bucks are still barely eligible for the Play-In tournament, while the Los Angeles Clippers are playing for seeding.
The 29-41 Bucks will be the best team the Clippers have faced in the last four games, but Milwaukee will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and possibly Kyle Kuzma.
That’s why my Bucks vs.Clippers predictions and NBA picks look for L.A. to cover the big spread on Monday, March 23.
Bucks vs Clippers prediction
Bucks vs Clippers best bet: Clippers -13)
The Los Angeles Clippers are 7-2 in their last nine games as a home favorite.
Many of their woes can be traced back to an awful start to the season. Overall, the Clippers boast the ninth-best offensive efficiency in the NBA, which will help against a Giannis-less Milwaukee Bucks team that can’t stop anyone.
Milwaukee has struggled recently, particularly against good teams. It had lost six of seven before winning Saturday.
That win over Phoenix was the Bucks’ first in 13 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .300. They won’t be remotely competitive in Inglewood tonight.
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Bucks vs Clippers same-game parlay
Both teams rank in the Bottom 10 in pace of play, but the cutoff takes that into account. This is the lowest Over/Under Los Angeles has faced in the last 11 games. And it’s gone Over seven times against those higher totals.
Darius Garland has blossomed since arriving in Los Angeles at the trade deadline, increasing his scoring by more than three points per game. He’s averaged 24.2 in the last seven and 25 in the last five. He’s also shooting 40 percentage points higher from the field and 130 percentage points higher from three.
Bucks vs Clippers SGP
- Clippers -13
- Over 222
- Darius Garland Over 20.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: No Kawhi, no problem for Garland & Jones
Garland has averaged 3.9 made treys a game with Los Angeles and 4.7 over the last six, including five or more in four of those. He’s 28 for his last 52 from deep for a .538 percentage.
Derrick Jones Jr. has 23 assists in March, but nearly half (11) have come in the last three games. Jones has also been scoring, with double figures in 10 of 13 March games, including 37 across the last two. With Kawhi Leonard questionable, he’ll have more opportunities on offense.
Bucks vs Clippers SGP
- Clippers -13
- Darius Garland Over 20.5 points
- Darius Garland Over 3.5 made threes
- Derrick Jones Jr. Over 12.5 points
- Derrick Jones Jr. Over 1.5 assists
Bucks vs Clippers odds
- Spread: Bucks +13 (-110) | Clippers -13 (-110)
- Moneyline: Bucks +575 | Clippers -850
- Over/Under: Over 222 (-110) | Under 222 (-110)
Bucks vs Clippers betting trend to know
The Clippers have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Clippers.
How to watch Bucks vs Clippers
| Location | Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA |
| Date | Monday, March 23, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN-Wisconsin, FDSN-SoCal |
Bucks vs Clippers latest injuries
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