Photo By – Reuters Connect. Chicago White Sox third baseman Miguel Vargas (20) celebrates with shortstop Colson Montgomery (12) after hitting a two run home run during the fifth inning against the Minnesota Twins.
With every team in action, we’re going back to the well with MLB moneyline predictions on Saturday, June 6.
Most of the lines are fairly even, with only a couple of lopsided favorites, so our MLB picks are balancing between some obvious choices and a few underdogs to get the job done, including the Chicago White Sox as they step in against Philadelphia Phillies Andrew Painter.
MLB moneyline picks for June 6
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 6-5.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for June 6
Mariners vs Tigers: Mariners (-127)
Mariners win probability: 56%
The Detroit Tigers seem to have righted a ship a bit, but the Seattle Mariners have been far superior, with a slightly misleading 33-30 record entering Friday. Their Pythagorean record is two wins better, and they have the second-best run differential in the American League.
Royals vs Twins: Twins (-127)
Twins win probability: 56%
Along with the Tigers, the Kansas City Royals are baseball’s most disappointing team. Despite Bobby Witt Jr. doing everything in his power to lift the team out of the AL Central cellar, KC remains 10.5 games back in the division.
It’s not as if the Minnesota Twins are world-beaters, likely punching above their weight class, but Joe Ryan offers them their best shot at picking up a win whenever he takes the mound, and the same can’t be said for Royals righty Luinder Avila.
Reds vs Cardinals: Reds (+117)
Reds win probability: 46%
The Cincinnati Reds have not gotten much out of their rotation this year, but as Nick Lodolo continues to get stronger as he gets further away from a blister issue, I like their chances opposite the St. Louis Cardinals and fellow lefty Matthew Liberatore.
The Reds are fourth in MLB with 23rd home runs vs. left-handed pitchers, thanks to Spencer Steer, Elly De La Cruz, and Sal Stewart, and Liberatore has been snake-bitten by 10 homers in just 62 innings.
Giants vs Cubs: Cubs (-133)
Cubs win probability: 56%
I’d be tempted to take the underdog San Francisco Giants here if I were confident in Landen Roupp’s health entering play. He dealt with back discomfort in his most recent outing, when he was rocked for eight runs on eight hits and five walks over four innings.
He felt good after a bullpen session, but I’ll fade the punchless Giants offense against Chicago Cubs righty Ben Brown in tandem with uncertainty about Roupp.
Orioles vs Blue Jays: Orioles (+108)
Orioles win probability: 47%
The Toronto Blue Jays haven’t announced a starter, but we know that it won’t be Trey Yesavage (pitching Friday), Kevin Gausman (pitching Sunday), or Dylan Cease (still injured).
Baltimore Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has seemingly turned a corner from his early-season struggles, allowing two runs or fewer in four straight starts, including an excellent seven-inning performance against Toronto last time out.
White Sox vs Phillies: White Sox (+117)
White Sox win probability: 46%
I’m fading Philadelphia Phillies rookie Andrew Painter until he can show more consistency on the mound. Even with Munetaka Murakami sidelined, the Chicago White Sox have continued to win, going 7-3 in their last 10 entering Friday.
Painter has surrendered nine home runs in 53 1/3 innings, and Murakami’s absence won’t kneecap Chicago’s power profile, as Colson Montgomery, Andrew Benintendi, and Miguel Vargas have combined to hit 25 home runs off right-handed pitching this season.
Pirates vs Braves: Braves (-122)
Braves win probability: 55%
The Atlanta Braves need to be considerably shorter, probably around -150, before I consider fading them in this matchup.
That’s not to shade Pittsburgh Pirates starter Braxton Aschcraft, who’s making it clear that prospect hounds maybe should have propped him up over Bubba Chandler in that system, but I am favoring a) the best offense in baseball and b) Spencer Strider, who has an easier task ahead of him, even if Ashcraft has been better/comparable in 2026.
Rays vs Marlins: Rays (-133)
Rays win probability: 56%
Shane McClanahan has allowed one or zero runs in six of his last seven starts. The Tampa Bay Rays lefty doesn’t pitch deep into his starts (finishing the sixth only once in that span), but he’s found success by limiting home runs.
The Miami Marlins are terrible against lefties, but they also aren’t showcasing a ton of over-the-fence pop in those matchups, either.
A’s vs Astros: A’s (+113)
A’s win probability: 47%
Even if Tatsuya Imai has emerged through the fog of his early-season struggles, he still doesn’t inspire much confidence.
This pick isn’t exactly an endorsement of A’s starter Kade Morris, who’s making his MLB debut, though. He doesn’t miss bats and has back-end rotation innings-eater written all over him. But if Nick Kurtz and the offense can show off some patience, they can chase Imai early en route to a high-scoring win.
I’d rather take the better number with the underdog here.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks: Diamondbacks (-150)
Diamondbacks win probability: 60%
The Washington Nationals have arguably the best offense in baseball. They also have the dirt-worst pitching staff. While taking them at +144 is certainly tempting, Zack Littell is simply not a starter with whom I wish to put my confidence.
He ranks in the 15th percentile or worse in xERA, xBA, fastball velocity, average exit velocity, whiff rate, strikeout rate, barrell rate, hard-hit rate, and ground ball rate. Basically, he throws very hittable pitches in the zone that opponents are taking advantage of.
If anything, he’s fortunate that his 5.01 ERA isn’t a fair bit higher.
Red Sox vs Yankees: Red Sox (+117)
Red Sox win probability: 46%
Aaron Judge’s absence looms large, and Will Warren comes back down to earth as the Boston Red Sox take one from the New York Yankees in the Bronx.
Ranger Suarez toeing the rubber also helps, as I don’t have as much confidence in New York’s lineup vs. lefties without Judge.
Guardians vs Rangers: Guardians (-104)
Guardians win probability: 51%
The Cleveland Guardians entered play on Friday at 36-28, leading the AL Central. Tanner Bibee is 0-7. Go figure. That will not last forever, even if he’s been middling at best.
I like Cleveland’s bats against Texas Rangers righty Jack Leiter enough to back Bibee & Co.
Brewers vs Rockies: Brewers (-233)
Brewers win probability: 70%
Maybe Jacob Misiorowski falls victim to Coors Field here, but sometimes you can’t just roll the dice on maybes.
The Colorado Rockies strike out fourth-most in MLB, and no one punches people out quite like The Miz.
Angels vs Dodgers: Dodgers (-257)
Dodgers win probability: 72%
The Los Angeles Angels remain pathetic. They have the worst record in baseball and don’t deserve our endorsement, especially against the Los Angeles Dodgers and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
Mets vs Padres: Mets (-104)
Mets win probability: 51%
Yeah, I know, Nolan McLean hit the skids a bit recently, but most of his struggles can be boiled down to two starts where he allowed 16 runs (13 earned) over nine innings.
Because they came in back-to-back appearances, the warning bells may have sounded a little louder than they otherwise might have.
The New York Mets aren’t good, but the San Diego Padres are struggling hard, and Griffin Canning can’t get anyone out.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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