Between injuries and trades, it’s uncertain who will even take the floor for the Warriors. Even with Devin Booker sidelined and Jalen Green possibly out, the Suns have enough depth to come away with a win and cover at home.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Suns G Collin Gillespie (12) dribbles the ball.
Two shorthanded Pacific Division teams clash at Mortgage Matchup Center as the Phoenix Suns host the Golden State Warriors.
Both teams will be without key players, but the Suns’ deeper roster gives them the advantage at home, and my Warriors vs Suns predictions expect Phoenix to cover the spread as the home favorite.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this divisional showdown on Thursday, February 5.
Warriors vs Suns prediction
Warriors vs Suns best bet: Suns -6.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors will be without Stephen Curry yet again, and the Warriors’ roster is utterly gutted for tonight’s matchup with the Phoenix Suns.
Curry and Jimmy Butler are sidelined. Buddy Hield and Jonathan Kuminga were traded to Atlanta, and Trayce Jackson-Davis was dealt to Toronto.
The Suns sport the NBA’s best home against-the-spread record at 17-7, and they’ve covered in nine of 14 as the home favorite. The Warriors are 10-15 ATS as the road team and 5-5 as the road dog. Golden State is just 2-5 ATS across its last seven.
The Suns will be missing Devin Booker and potentially Jalen Green, but Phoenix’s roster is far deeper, and it has home-court advantage. Strong performances from role players will provide the winning formula for Phoenix. Give me the Suns and the points.
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Warriors vs Suns same-game parlay
The Suns have hit the Under at home more than any other team in the Association, doing so in 17 of 24 games. The Warriors have hit the Under in six of 10 as the road underdog, and Golden State will have a tough time putting up points with a depleted roster.
Even if Green is available, he’ll be playing at less than 100%, and Collin Gillespie should see plenty of run as he fills in for Booker.
Over his last 10, Gillespie has averaged 24.7 PRA, and I expect him to ride the momentum from his career-high 30-point performance.
Warriors vs Suns SGP
- Suns -6.5
- Under 216.5
- Collin Gillespie Over 24.5 points+rebounds+assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Melton Steps Up
Someone’s got to score for the Warriors, and I’m taking a swing on De’Anthony Melton being that guy. Over his last 12, Melton has averaged 15.3 points and gone for 16+ six times.
Warriors vs Suns SGP
- Suns -6.5
- Under 216.5
- Collin Gillespie Over 24.5 points+rebounds+assists
- De’Anthony Melton Over 16.5 points
Warriors vs Suns odds
- Spread: Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Suns -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors +210 | Suns -260
- Over/Under: Over 233.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Suns betting trend to know
The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Suns.
How to watch Warriors vs Suns
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Thursday, February 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Warriors vs Suns latest injuries
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