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    Home»Fantasy»Fantasy Football Value Picks by ECR (2026)
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    Fantasy Football Value Picks by ECR (2026)

    By July 23, 202632 Mins Read
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    Fantasy Football Value Picks by ECR (2026)
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    Finding value is one of the easiest ways to build a winning fantasy football roster, and Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) can help you spot players the public is overlooking. These are the best fantasy football value picks for 2026, highlighting players ranked higher by FantasyPros’ experts than their average draft position, giving you the chance to draft them at a discount before the rest of your league catches on.

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    Fantasy Football Value Picks by ECR (2026)

    Running Backs

    Who is the best value pick at RB based on his current half-PPR ECR and why?

    Rachaad White (RB – WAS)

    “Rachaad White as the RB37. The former Bucs RB has a really strong chance of capitalizing on the high-value touches in a Washington Commanders offense led by Jayden Daniels (White’s former college teammate). Second-year RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt and 2026 6th-round draft pick Kaytron Allen hardly infringe on White’s role as an established pass-catching RB. White has caught 40 or more passes in four straight seasons, making him one of the league’s more reliable receiving backs. His fantasy resume is also better than most remember: RB7 overall finish in 2023, RB24 in PPG in seven games from Weeks 5-12 (10.1) and no finishes worse than RB38 in half-PPR. White improved some of his rushing efficiency marks last season (2nd in rushing success rate and EPA/rush) because he was solid in short-yardage and conversion attempts. That suggests to me the staff might view White similarly to Chris Rodriguez in those situations, but with the receiving ability adding a bonus (turning the last three-headed backfield into a much more manageable two-headed one). Obviously, the risk with White is that he has not been able to separate himself from Day 3 RBs in the past (Bucky Irving, Sean Tucker) completely – but that concern is more than captured in his ADP. This year’s Javonte Williams? Rachaad White.”
    – Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

    Kyren Williams (RB – LAR)

    “Kyren Williams slotted behind Omarion Hampton and only barely ahead of Jeremiyah Love is, frankly, scandalous. Williams is entering his age-26 season, so he certainly isn’t cooked. Nothing about his situation has changed, either. Blake Corum isn’t some new addition to the depth chart. Kyren has finished as a top-8 fantasy back in each of the past three years, averaging 1455 scrimmage yards and 15 touchdowns per season. I can’t imagine thinking Hampton’s ceiling is somehow higher than the typical Williams stat line. ”
    – Andy Behrens (The Deep Shot)

    “Kyren Williams stands out as a prime value pick at an ECR of 13, effectively landing an RB1 at the price of an RB2. As a true PPR machine, his volume in the Rams’ offense consistently secures high-end weekly output. Securing a locked-in high-volume starter in the early teens provides foundational roster strength without requiring a top-tier consensus pick. His heavy workload makes him an essential player for making any fantasy manager’s roster into a contender.”
    – Lawrence Iacona (The Architect’s War Room)

    Kenneth Walker (RB – KC)

    “ECR has Kenneth Walker ranked RB12, 24th overall. I have Walker at RB7, 15th overall and prefer him over Chase Brown, Omarion Hampton, Saquon Barkley, and De’Von Achane. Walker averaged 16.4 touches per game over four seasons in Seattle. We should expect him to be closer to 20 touches a game for the Chiefs, who gave him a big-money deal in free agency and have little else at the RB position. Walker went berserk in last season’s playoffs, thriving in a workhorse role after Zach Charbonnet tore his ACL. Walker averaged 30 touches and 161 scrimmage yards over Seattle’s three-game title run, scoring four postseason touchdowns. The Chiefs obviously won’t feed him to THAT degree, but it’s exciting to think about what Walker can do with a meaty role in an Andy Reid offense, running behind arguably a better offensive line than Walker had in Seattle.”
    – Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

    David Montgomery (RB – HOU)

    “The best RB value pick based on current ECR is David Montgomery. He is RB24 in ECR, and although Houston has struggled with their offensive line play and overall offensive output, Monty should get most of the RB touches in what projects to be a somewhat improved line and offense. Monty finished as the RB27 last year with only 182 total touches while playing second fiddle to Gibbs. While he may not be a bell cow and Woody Marks should have some utility, it’s hard to see how he will not finish as at least the RB24 as he should get closer to 300 touches, even playing in a less potent offense. Monty should be locked in as a weekly high-end RB2 with upside for more when the offense is clicking.”
    – Jacob Piccolo (TrueRGM)

    “David Montgomery is amazingly cheap and will help teams win championships this year. He is ridiculously priced as the RB24 in half PPR leagues, which is crazy for a player who will get three-down work in an offense with a much-improved offensive line. His superior past blocking ability will keep him on the field for more plays and allow for more receptions. He will not have to compete with Jahmir Gibbs this year, which will increase his PPR value and make him a steal at RB24.”
    – Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

    “The Houston Texans made it to the playoffs on the back of an elite defense; that defense is filled with all-pros at every level once again. While they have one of the harder strength of schedules, they should be able to control the game script, leaning on the run game with David Montgomery. Even while operating behind Gibbs last season, Montgomery still carried the ball 158 times for 716 rushing yards and 8 TDs, averaging a healthy 4.5 yards per attempt. He also forced 29 missed tackles and averaged 3.2 yards after contact per attempt. Now he has the opportunity as a workhorse for a team that will lean on its defense and run game to win; he’s a tremendous value as the ECR RB 24 in half-PPR.”
    – Avery Thrasher (The Branded Sports)

    “David Montgomery at RB 24 is laughable. Texans view Monty as a 3-down back. It’s the 2024 Joe Mixon role. That’s RB10 numbers.”
    – Fantasy Football Goonz (Fantasy Football Goonz)

    Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR)

    “Jonathon Brooks is one of the best late-round running back values because he finally enters the season healthy and has a realistic path to a featured workload. Carolina vacated more than 250 touches after Rico Dowdle‘s departure, and Chuba Hubbard struggled to create explosive plays or force missed tackles last season. Dave Canales has consistently leaned on one workhorse back once a player earns his trust, making Brooks an ideal breakout candidate if his talent separates him early. At his current cost, Brooks offers league-winning upside that far outweighs the minimal draft-day investment.”
    – Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)

    Javonte Williams (RB – DAL)

    “He’s not a sexy name, but Javonte Williams is a screaming value sitting at RB17. Last season — his first in Dallas — he finished as the RB11, averaging 14.3 points per game. However, his expected fantasy points per game were even better at 15.7, which was seventh-best among all running backs. Dallas will field one of the league’s best offenses, so he’ll have plenty of scoring opportunities. Plus, there’s a chance Williams could even top his fantasy finish from 2025 if he can improve upon his abysmal 3.9 yards per reception. With very little competition for touches behind him, I don’t see why he can’t be an RB1 once again this season. Don’t overthink it; take the volume with Williams here.”
    – Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)

    Omarion Hampton (RB – LAC)

    “Omarion Hampton isn’t the cheapest option, but I think he’s the best value at RB. Last year, everything that could go wrong in Los Angeles did. Injuries crushed the Chargers. Hampton had his own injury issues. Fortunately, he and his teammates (offensive tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt) are healthy now. I expect Hampton to be one of the few bell-cow RBs in the league, and if that transpires, it could produce an incredibly high fantasy ceiling. The Chargers should put up plenty of points this season. With a current half-point consensus ranking at RB 10, Hampton seems cheap given the fantasy potential of an improved Chargers’ offense in 2026.”
    – Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

    “I’ve seen it argued that Omarion Hampton is being drafted much closer to his ceiling than his floor at RB10, and I couldn’t disagree more. Yes, the Chargers and new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel brought in Keaton Mitchell, but I’m not overly concerned—I see Mitchell as a change-of-pace weapon who’ll get a handful of scripted touches each week designed to create explosive plays, not someone who meaningfully cuts into Hampton’s workload. We’ve already seen what Hampton looks like as a featured back, averaging a 79% snap share in his three healthy games without Najee Harris while scoring 21+ fantasy points twice, and now he lands in an offense where McDaniel’s lead back has finished as a top-five fantasy RB in three straight seasons. Give Hampton 300-plus touches behind an improved offensive line anchored by Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt, and I think an overall RB1 finish is well within his range of outcomes.”
    – James Emrick-Wilson (The Armchair Sports Corner)

    Bhayshul Tuten (RB – JAC)

    “Bhayshul Tuten is either going to lead me to fantasy championships or cover my face in eggs while I eat crow. I am all in on the second year back at his current ADP of RB25. Chris Rodriguez is the definition of an average runner without a season over 500 rushing yards and only six career receptions. He is also dealing with a foot injury and missing team activities. This clears the runway for Tuten, who flashed as a rookie and is the only back on the roster with a true three-down skill set. I don’t see a world where he ends the season as the RB25. Either CRod steals all the early-down work, and he finishes in the 30s. Or Tuten is unleashed and finishes inside the top-20, if not top 15. I believe the latter is far more likely and worth the price.”
    – Ellis Johnson (FantasyPros)

    “Bhayshul Tuten being ranked outside of the top 24 in half-PPR feels criminal. Yes, he will face competition from Chris Rodriguez in camp, but all signs point towards Tuten winning the starting running back role for Jacksonville. In a limited role last year behind starter Travis Etienne, Tuten recorded 3.7 yards per attempt, and in his only game receiving double-digit attempts last year against the Chargers in Week 11, Tuten went for just under 5 yards a carry with a touchdown. Now looking at a bigger role, Tuten has the potential to receive close to the 260 attempts Etienne received last year. If he can maintain and improve his overall efficiency, Tuten will be a draft-day steal for fantasy managers.”
    – Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

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    Wide Receivers

    Who is the best value pick at WR based on his current half-PPR ECR and why?

    Carnell Tate (WR – TEN)

    “Carnell Tate as the WR30. The cheapest a top-5 drafted rookie WR has been in a long time. Tate slides into an offense where he can emerge as the true No. 1 alpha WR. And there’s a lot of upside here attached to second-year QB Cam Ward, in an offense led by new OC Brian Daboll. Daboll obviously loves Wan’Dale Robinson and hasn’t closed the door to veteran Calvin Ridley, so Tate might not have bonkers target share from the jump. But his path to WR1 status is clearly in reach. In his final year at Ohio State, Tate finished first in the class in 1st in EPA/target (0.82) and positive % versus man coverage (56%) according to Sports Info Solutions. Guys drafted from the previous WR class, with the same win rate? Emeka Egbuka, Ladd McConkey and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. All who were questioned as “true” No. 1 options coming out of college. Consider the average production of a WR that was drafted in the top 10 in the past five drafts. They have averaged 78 catches, 1,045 yards, and 6.4 TDs as rookies (last five drafts). WRs selected inside the top-5 since 2013 have finished as top-36 options at an 80% hit rate.”
    – Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

    Rome Odunze (WR – CHI)

    “There’s a very real chance that the pre-injury version of Rome Odunze we saw last season is the guy we’re gonna get in 2026. If that happens, he is definitely not finishing outside the top-25 fantasy receivers. Let’s please remember that he was on pace for an easy 1000 yards and double-digit touchdowns through nine games. It’s not as if Luther Burden is the only Bears pass-catcher likely to see an uptick in opportunities this season.”
    – Andy Behrens (The Deep Shot)

    Parker Washington (WR – JAC)

    “Parker Washington averaged 10.3 targets, 6.5 catches, and 113.5 yards, with three touchdowns, over the Jaguars’ last four games of the season, including their playoff loss to the Bills. Washington averaged a robust 8.9 yards per target and 2.19 yards per route run last season, averaging 0.24 targets per route run (a higher TPRR number than either Brian Thomas Jr. or Jakobi Meyers). Slot receivers have thrived in Liam Coen’s offenses, and Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence seems to prefer throwing to his slot guys over his outside receivers. Washington won’t get all the slot snaps in Jacksonville, but he lined up in the slot 40% of the time in 2025. Parker’s ECR of WR37 puts him in the eighth round of 12-team drafts. That’s great value on an ascendant player.”
    – Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

    “Parker Washington is currently the WR37 and is primed to be Trevor Lawrence‘s #1 Target in a Liam Coen offense, which will put up ridiculous fantasy numbers. Last year he proved he was a more reliable target than Brian Thomas Jr. Fantasy owners can draft him as a flex play and should be able to play him as a WR2 or fringe WR1 some weeks!”
    – Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

    Stefon Diggs (WR – FA)

    “While this may be the obvious answer, and this will change a lot before the season commences, it’s hard to argue that Stefon Diggs is not a screaming value right now. As the ECR WR80, he is essentially free in the later rounds of your draft at this point. Of course he is not currently signed to a team, and he had his share of struggles last year, but he could sign to most teams and become an instant contributor; not the locked-in WR1 that we have seen in the past, but he could easily be a WR3 or flex play, with the ceiling higher than that depending where he signs. Even in a season where he seemingly disappointed and left a sour taste in many managers’ mouths, he eclipsed the 1000-yard mark and finished as the WR18 overall. To be frank, I don’t really care where he signs; when you can get someone who finished as a locked-in WR2 the year prior at WR80 value, that’s an easy draft for me every time.”
    – Jacob Piccolo (TrueRGM)

    Jalen McMillan (WR – TB)

    “Jalen McMillan is an outstanding late-round value after injuries caused fantasy managers to overlook his impressive rookie-season efficiency. He averaged 2.23 yards per route run and ranked sixth among qualifying receivers in fantasy points per target before his sophomore season was cut short by a neck injury. With Mike Evans gone, McMillan is expected to step into a full-time outside role in one of the league’s better passing offenses while benefiting from a favorable schedule. At his current WR68 price, you’re drafting him much closer to his floor than his ceiling.”
    – Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)

    Christian Watson (WR – GB)

    “Seeing Christian Watson sitting at WR28 is like a siren’s call to me. His ceiling is too alluring now that he has a full-time role in this offense. Last season, after coming back from a torn ACL, Watson averaged 11.5 half-PPR points per game, 16th-best among wideouts. Even better, he crushed from an efficiency standpoint, and that’s what gets me pumped. Watson ranked fourth in both yards per route run (2.65) and yards per target (11.1). He also ranked 10th in first downs per route run (0.121). At WR3 prices, you’re getting an explosive downfield threat who can score from anywhere on the field. Sign me up.”
    – Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)

    Jalen Nailor (WR – LV)

    “Jalen Nailor played in the shadows of Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, but make no mistake, Nailor is electric in the open field. He’s also a good route runner and has a physicality to his game when it comes to creating YAC (yards after the catch). Nailor is reunited with former Vikings teammate Kirk Cousins in Sin City. Waiting in the wings to take over at QB is the number one overall pick, Fernando Mendoza. All Mendoza did was lead the unheralded Indiana Hoosiers to a National Championship. With a consensus ranking at WR 74, Nailor is pretty much free, and I think based on his talent alone, he outperforms his draft cost in street shoes. ”
    – Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

    Mike Evans (WR – TB)

    “Depending on your risk tolerance, Mike Evans could be the biggest value at the position. At the moment, missed games are baked into his WR26 price. However, unless the fantasy community has perfectly threaded the needle of missed time and production, he won’t finish there. When healthy, Evans on San Francisco projects to be a WR1 for fantasy. Kyle Shanahan and Brock Purdy are perfect for is skillset, and reports have been glowing from camp so far. That said, he could miss substantial time with injuries. In that case, he will finish far below WR26. If you believe he will be a top 10 WR when healthy (like I do), I’ll take that risk. At the end of the day, if he finishes as a top 10 play in Weeks 16 and 17, you won’t care about a couple of missed games during the season.”
    – Ellis Johnson (FantasyPros)

    “Mike Evans is this year’s Davante Adams with even more upside. He can be a red zone machine in San Fran. WR26 is a joke.”
    – Fantasy Football Goonz (Fantasy Football Goonz)

    Jayden Reed (WR – GB)

    “Jayden Reed presents immense value at a receiver ECR of 48 due to his dynamic versatility within the Green Bay offense. He commands consistent targets and serves as an explosive plug-and-play weapon through pop passes, RPOs, and designed screens. This high-percentage usage elevates his weekly usage, particularly in half-PPR formats. Securing that kind of explosive player outside the top 40 picks maximizes your positional leverage.”
    – Lawrence Iacona (The Architect’s War Room)

    Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB)

    “WR18, yes, but Emeka Egbuka will become a steal in no time for any drafters that select him. Egbuka was white hot to start his NFL career, logging five touchdowns in his first five starts and gathering at least 67 yards in four of those five. The bet on Egbuka lies in two areas: a) can Baker Mayfield stay healthy, and b) can Egbuka take over as the clear WR1 in this offense. Egbuka has true 80 to 85-catch potential with double-digit touchdown upside, and would return serious low-end WR1/high-end WR2 numbers. He is a player that falls squarely into the “do whatever you can to go and get him” category, because the return will be massive.”
    – Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

    Josh Downs (WR – IND)

    “Here’s a version that sounds much more like you. By now, most people are probably sick of hearing me talk about Josh Downs—but I’m going to keep beating that drum until the market catches up, or I’ll happily keep scooping up the value myself. Downs is my favorite wide receiver value because I think WR47 is a massive mispricing for a player with a 0.25 career TPRR, putting him alongside some of the league’s elite young receivers, and he’s now in line for a much larger role following Michael Pittman‘s departure. Chris Ballard has already hinted that more opportunities are coming, and if those routes and targets finally catch up to Downs’ talent, I think a WR2 finish is firmly in play, with WR3 as the floor. Draft him before the market corrects itself, because I don’t expect WR47 to last much longer.”
    – James Emrick-Wilson (The Armchair Sports Corner)

    Quarterbacks

    Who is the best value pick at QB based on current half-PPR ECR and why?

    Trevor Lawrence (QB – JAC)

    “Trevor Lawrence as the QB9. The Jags quarterback came close to finishing as fantasy’s best signal-caller last season in just his first year with Liam Coen. From Week 5 onward, the Jaguars’ QB outscored all other players at every single position (23 PPG). Overall, he finished top-5 in PPG and No. 1 in expected fantasy points per game. Entering his second season with Coen (who Baker Mayfield threw for 40-plus TDs with back in 2024), the ceiling for T-Law is sky-high. The dual-threat QB is entering his uber-prime at just 27 years old, and projects to pile up TDs – both through the air and on the ground. In 2025, Lawrence attempted the 4th-most red-zone passes, and the third-most red-zone rushes (9 rushing TDs trailed only Josh Allen). His 38 total TDs trailed only Allen and Matthew Stafford. With an embarrassment of riches to throw to at WR/TE, Lawrence is teed up to smash in 2026. YOU MUST RESPECT T-LAW.”
    – Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

    “Trevor Lawrence was on a tear to end last season. QB 9 is not even his floor. We expect more progression in year 2 with Liam Coen.”
    – Fantasy Football Goonz (Fantasy Football Goonz)

    Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR)

    “Matthew Stafford’s consensus rank is kind of hilarious. He’s healthy right now, so don’t talk to me about injury worries. Stafford has a weapons-grade arm and elite receivers at his disposal. He’s at the controls of an extremely fantasy-friendly offense and coming off an MVP season in which he led the NFL in passing yards and TDs, finishing as the QB3. Among the uni-threat quarterbacks, he’s as good as it gets.”
    – Andy Behrens (The Deep Shot)

    “Matthew Stafford just put up a career year and dominated for fantasy football managers. All the Rams did was get better across the board during the off-season. They lost no major skill position players or on the offensive line. He might not throw as many touchdowns or yards because they will be ahead by a lot of points this year, but as QB15, he will vastly outperform his draft position. Draft him with confidence to be your QB1, and if you get him as your QB2 and superflex. Enjoy the rewards he will give.”
    – Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

    Kyler Murray (QB – MIN)

    “It’s a great year to wait on a quarterback, and Kyler Murray is a terrific value at QB17. Murray’s yearly finishes in fantasy points per game: QB11, QB4, QB4, QB7, QB9, QB12, QB20. Murray is set up for success in Minnesota, where he’ll get to work with well-regarded head coach and playcaller Kevin O’Connell and will be throwing to Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, Jauan Jennings, and T.J. Hockenson. And of course, Murray is a dangerous runner who adds fantasy value with his legs.”
    – Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

    Tyler Shough (QB – NO)

    “I think one of the best values right now is Tyler Shough at ECR QB20. Shough took over as the QB1 in New Orleans in Week 8, and while there were some growing pains in his first few starts, he finished as the QB16 or higher every week after Week 13, including four QB1 finishes. This was being done with a lackluster NO offense, with Kamara looking like a shell of himself and Rashid Shaheed already being shipped off to Seattle. Enter 2026, where Shough has had an offseason to prepare as the team’s starter, while also adding weapons Travis Etienne Jr. and Jordyn Tyson to the equation. I think Shough has a good chance to finish at least as a solid, high-end QB2 with multiple QB1 spike weeks.”
    – Jacob Piccolo (TrueRGM)

    Jared Goff (QB – DET)

    “Jared Goff continues to be one of fantasy football’s most overlooked quarterbacks despite finishing as a top-10 QB in each of his last four healthy seasons in Detroit. He has thrown for at least 4,400 yards and 29 touchdowns in four straight years while providing exceptional durability and consistency. Detroit returns one of the league’s best supporting casts, and new offensive coordinator Drew Petzing gives the offense additional upside entering 2026. Being drafted outside the top 15 quarterbacks makes Goff one of the safest values for managers waiting at the position.”
    – Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)

    Malik Willis (QB – GB)

    “The answer is easily Malik Willis from me. Over the past two seasons, he’s ranked first in EPA per dropback. Yes, it’s a small sample size, but that’s highly encouraging. There’s also this: since 1999, guys who top 500 rushing yards in a season have finished as top-12 fantasy quarterbacks 80% of the time. Half of the time, they finish in the top five. Willis might have the worst group of pass-catchers in the league, and the Dolphins will be trailing most weeks. That means he’s going to use his legs often and has a legit chance to lead the position in rushing. Keep all this in mind when you’re selecting a backup in single-QB formats or a QB2 in Superflex leagues.”
    – Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)

    Kirk Cousins (LV) & Fernando Mendoza (LV)

    “It sounds like Captain Kirk will be the guy for a good part of the season, if not the entire season. However, just in case he’s not, I’m including the MVP for the National Champion Indiana Hoosiers, Fernando Mendoza. Whoever mans the helm in Sin City will have some formidable weapons to work with, such as: Brock Bowers, Ashton Jeanty, and underrated newcomer Jalen Nailor. Both QBs are practically free in drafts with their consensus rankings at respectively (Cousins QB 34 and Mendoza QB 29). Worth a shot.”
    – Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

    Bo Nix (QB – DEN)

    “I have never been the biggest Bo Nix fan; however, there is no reason he should be going as the QB13. Only he and Josh Allen have had back-to-back 300-point fantasy seasons over the last two years (four points per passing TD). In both of these years, he finished as the QB7. Despite this, he is now going six spots later. This would make sense if the team lost their top target, but instead they did the opposite. The addition of Jaylen Waddle should be massive for this pass attack. As long as Nix is fully healthy at the start of the season (which is expected), he might as well be penciled in for another QB7 season.”
    – Ellis Johnson (FantasyPros)

    Geno Smith (QB – NYJ)

    “Geno Smith provides incredible draft-day value with an ECR of 239, allowing managers to grab him cheap as a reliable backup or late-round depth piece. He steps into an upgraded offensive system featuring standout weapons like Garrett Wilson, Omar Cooper Jr., and Kenyon Sadiq. This supporting cast gives him sneaky upside well beyond his current cost. Banking on a veteran signal-caller with those explosive weapons at a near-zero cost is great value.”
    – Lawrence Iacona (The Architect’s War Room)

    Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)

    “Dak Prescott, the current QB10, will be a volume monster again in 2026. In healthy seasons, Dak has attempted at least 590 passes four healthy years in a row, with all of those seasons being accompanied by 30 TD passes. Dak finds himself behind a stout offensive line, and has three superb downfield targets in Jake Ferguson, CeeDee Lamb, and George Pickens. Yes, the Dallas defense has improved, but that should not change how the Cowboys are on offense all that much. They want to push the ball downfield, and trust Dak and his arm to get them there. Dak will be as consistent an option as any manager could want at the QB position, and volume alone will see Dak outperform QB10.”
    – Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

    Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet Creator

    Tight Ends

    Who is the best value pick at TE based on his current half-PPR ECR and why?

    Isaiah Likely (TE – BAL)

    “Isaiah Likely as the TE13. The Ravens opted to sign Mark Andrews to more years rather than extend Likely in the final year of his rookie deal. Likely struggled with injuries to both himself and his QB, which dramatically hurt his 2025 production (along with several oh-so-close TDs that didn’t actually result in scores). Entering free agency and eventually signing with the New York Giants, Likely’s stock is nowhere near where it was at this time last year (TE16 finish in 2024). However, the upside we have seen from Likely when Andrews has missed time in the past – 11 PPG with no Andrews, equivalent to the TE5 in PPG last year – warrants a shot on Likely if he carves out a clear TE1 role with John Harbaugh as his head coach in NY. Harbaugh is one of the biggest Likely stans that there is, so it bodes well for him to receive ample opportunities to post numbers and stats. Likely is ESPN’s 3rd-highest-ranked TE in their receiver score since 2023. Also works in his favor that he could be the de facto No. 1 target in Big Blue while Malik Nabers returns from his ACL injury—perfect storm to be “the” late-round tight end you need in 2026.”
    – Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)

    “The Giants are concerned about Malik Nabers being ready for the start of 2026. In addition, I’ve heard that Nabers might not be 100% until 2027. Isaiah Likely could come in and be a big slot WR for New York, who also lost WR WanDale Robinson in free agency. When Likely had opportunities as a go-to guy in Baltimore, he produced. And with a consensus ranking at TE 13, Likely could easily outkick his draft cost, especially with a promising QB like Jaxson Dart, and a Giants’ schedule that seems to be ripe for some fantasy points.”
    – Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)

    “Isaiah Likely checks all the boxes for a breakout season. Following his Head Coach from the Ravens to the Giants, he slots in as a top-two target on the offense behind Malik Nabers. Based on Nabers’ injury, he may even be the top target, which has been reported in camp. There are two main factors for breakout TEs. One, they have to be a top-two target; and two, it needs to be a good offense. With the first one already checked off, it is anyone’s guess how good this Giants offense will be. That said, I’ll happily take that risk since he is being drafted as the TE13.”
    – Ellis Johnson (FantasyPros)

    “Malik Nabers is a huge question mark, so we like Isaiah Likely in a John Harbaugh environment that has been extremely tight end friendly in the past and where he will be the top target earner at least until Nabers is 100%.”
    – Fantasy Football Goonz (Fantasy Football Goonz)

    Tyler Warren (TE – IND)

    “Tyler Warren is a do-it-all tight end, as versatile as any player in recent memory, and he was almost certainly going to finish top-three at his position last season before Philip Rivers entered the equation. Warren is exactly the type of player who can string together a 5-7 year stretch of positional dominance. It’s crazy that we’ve turned him into a second-tier afterthought. He’s the best candidate on the Colts roster to claim a big slice of Michael Pittman‘s old over-the-middle targets.”
    – Andy Behrens (The Deep Shot)

    Mark Andrews (TE – BAL)

    “The top eight tight ends in ECR all have their charms, but they’re all priced accordingly. My favorite value among the budget TE options is Mark Andrews, whose ECR is TE15, No. 126 overall. Andrews’ efficiency numbers cratered last year, but it was a rough year for the Baltimore offense overall, with QB Lamar Jackson missing several games and playing at less than 100% in others. During Jackson’s seven full seasons as the Ravens’ starting QB, here’s where Baltimore’s TEs have ranked in percentage of team targets: 1st, 5th, 1st, 1st, 10th, 4th and 4th. Andrews no longer has to share TE targets with Isaiah Likely, who’s now with the Giants. Maybe the 30-year-old Andrews is cooked. If so, it’s painless to replace an 11th-round TE on waivers. But if he’s *not* cooked, Andrews could have a big bounce-back season.”
    – Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

    “Mark Andrews was once the TE1 in fantasy football and since then has slipped to TE15 due to a few lackluster seasons and age. This year, a new coaching staff and new offensive scheme will be coming to Baltimore. Rumors have circulated that the offense will include more targets for Andrews. He will also benefit from Isaiah Likely signing with the New York Giants. Andrews is primed for a resurgence as a dominant tight end and reliable first read for Lamar Jackson. At TE15, Andrews will be a steal for fantasy managers who wait on tight end in the draft.”
    – Adam Dove (The Fantasy Couriers)

    Greg Dulcich (TE – MIA)

    “In terms of strict value, Greg Dulcich has to be one of the best values there is right now. Coming in as ECR TE36, you can likely get Dulcich in the last round of most drafts, and he has a strong opportunity to greatly outperform his current ranking. Dulcich was a solid producer earlier in his career, and while he hasn’t had any success in the past few seasons, he now has an opportunity to play in a Dolphins offense with zero well-established WRs or TEs on the roster. While the overall offense is not a good one, and Malik Willis is not exactly known as a premier passer, the targets have to go somewhere, and Dulcich has apparently been a favorite target of Willis during early team workouts. It makes sense that a QB getting his first full-time starting role would rely on their tight end while they get comfortable, and I could see Dulcich benefitting to the point where they could pay off as at least a solid TE2 with upside for more.”
    – Jacob Piccolo (TrueRGM)

    “Greg Dulcich is one of the best late-round tight end values because he enters a Miami offense with very little established receiving competition. Early offseason reports indicate he has become one of the team’s most targeted pass catchers, giving him a legitimate opportunity to emerge as Malik Willis‘ security blanket. Dulcich also benefits from the easiest projected fantasy schedule among tight ends, further boosting his weekly upside. At a TE23 price tag, the risk is already baked in, while the potential reward is significantly higher if he secures a consistent role.”
    – Ryan Linkletter (Blitz Sports Media)

    “Greg Dulcich is my favorite late-round tight end because I think TE36 is wildly undervaluing his upside. He ranked second among all tight ends in yards per route run (2.4) last season, finished second in yards after the catch per reception, and posted a 21.2% explosive play rate on limited opportunities. Miami doesn’t have an established pecking order in the passing game, giving Dulcich a legitimate chance to emerge as one of the offense’s top receiving options if his target volume climbs. At TE36, you’re paying almost nothing for a player who has a very real path to finishing as a top-12 fantasy tight end.”
    – James Emrick-Wilson (The Armchair Sports Corner)

    Travis Kelce (TE – KC)

    “Give me Mr. Taylor Swift at his TE9 price tag all day long. I know he’s older than dirt, but Travis Kelce still finished as the TE4 in total fantasy points in half-PPR scoring last year. He also ranked second in deep targets (10), third in yards after catch (424), and fourth in EPA (+53.2). Kelce should be motivated in what is likely his final season, and he’ll want to go out with a bang. At TE9, you’re basically drafting him at his floor, making him a great target for managers who want to wait until later in drafts to nab their starting tight end. ”
    – Wolf Trelles-Heard (FantasyPros)

    T.J. Hockenson (TE – MIN)

    “T.J. Hockenson represents a tremendous tight-end discount sitting at an ECR of 22. Securing a proven offensive focal point at a discounted price tag provides massive roster flexibility early in drafts. If he maintains his health, his high-volume target share gives him clear top-12 positional upside. Finding a discounted player at a volatile position gives you a huge weekly edge over your league.”
    – Lawrence Iacona (The Architect’s War Room)

    Sam LaPorta (TE – DET)

    “If Sam LaPorta is healthy, he will be so good for a position that fantasy managers are always searching for answers with. In 9 games a year ago before he was lost for the year, LaPorta came down with 40 catches and three touchdowns in a high-powered Detroit offense. What is key to point out is that during that stretch, only Amon-Ra St. Brown saw more targets in the Detroit offense than LaPorta. 70-75 catches is well within the range of outcomes, and LaPorta should be worthy of consideration in the middle of drafts. He could become a massive steal if his price even comes close to the start of the double-digit rounds, largely due to the health concerns.”
    – Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)

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