Elite defenses have both teams entering the Summer League Championship undefeated, and those efforts on D will lead to a low-scoring tilt.
Photo By – Imagn Images. Kon Knueppel (7) dribbles the ball against the Dallas Mavericks during the second half of a NBA basketball game,
The top two teams in the 2025 NBA 2K26 Summer League will face off in the final tonight as the Sacramento Kings take on the Charlotte Hornets in Las Vegas.
Both have gone undefeated behind their outstanding defensive efforts, so I’m taking the Under in my Kings vs. Hornets predictions.
Let’s break down what to expect in the final in my free NBA picks for Sunday, July 20.
Kings vs Hornets prediction
My best bet: Under 187.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
The Sacramento Kings and Charlotte Hornets are the only 5-0 teams at this year’s Summer League. Both have accomplished this by dominating on the defensive end: Charlotte is allowing 85.8 points per game in the tournament, while Sacramento has given up 84.6 ppg.
The Hornets do sit second in scoring at 101.8 ppg, but when you add up the numbers, these teams aren’t likely to reach the total sportsbooks have set for tonight’s game.
Overall, Charlotte has been the team playing to higher scores, averaging a total of 187.6 ppg — right at tonight’s number — while Sacramento is lower at 180.4 ppg. While Charlotte showed it can be explosive by scoring 109 points in its semifinal win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, I don’t expect a repeat of that performance against a tough Kings defense.
While everyone tries to play good basketball throughout the Summer League, there’s going to be an added intensity for the final, which should mean even sharper defense and no easy baskets.
Kings vs Hornets same-game parlay
Under 187.5
Hornets moneyline
Nique Clifford Under 16.5 points
Along with taking the Under, I also like the Hornets to win this game outright. Charlotte has been the most dominant team at the 2025 NBA Summer League, outscoring teams by an average of 16.0 points per game.
I’m also taking the Under on Nique Clifford’s point total, as Clifford (16.2 ppg) scored just seven points yesterday against the Toronto Raptors and faces another solid defense today.
Kings vs Hornets odds
 Kings |
 Hornets |
|
|---|---|---|
| -2 (-110) | Spread | +2 (-110) |
| -120 | Moneyline | +100 |
| Over 187.5 (-110) | Total | Under 187.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of bet365
How to watch Kings vs Hornets
| Location | Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV |
| Date | Sunday, 7-20-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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