Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: PHI -7
Total: 40.5
Team Totals: Eagles (23.8), Giants (16.8)
Game Outlook
Week 6 in the NFL kicks off on Thursday when the 4-1 Eagles travel to MetLife for an NFC East showdown with the 1-4 Giants in a game featuring a lowly 40.5 total; Only PIT/CLE has a lower game total this week, so oddsmakers certainly aren’t projecting a scoring bonanza in this one. Let’s start on the Giants side of the ball here as we now have two games with Jaxson Dart under center. In Weeks 4 and 5, the G Men have trended run-first when the scoreboard as allowed. In a 112 play sample over the last two weeks when the game has been within one score, the Giants are throwing at just a 41% clip. Now, they get a friendly matchup against an Eagles defense that ranks 30th in rush success rate allowed versus 8th in drop back success rate. So long as this one stays close, I suspect we’ll see a run-heavy game plan on a short week, especially considering New York is down Malik Nabers (ACL) and Darius Slayton (Hamstring). Of course, that could change if the Eagles can get out to a big lead as 7.5-point favorites.
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