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A potential NBA Finals preview is on tap this evening when the Detroit Pistons visit the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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There’s no need to simply go with your gut when making your NBA picks for tonight, as our computer has crunched the numbers to deliver some high-value NBA player prop projections.
Let’s dive into our top Pistons vs. Thunder computer picks for tonight, headlined by an Ajay Mitchell prop.
For more on this game, check out Zak Hanshew’s Pistons vs. Thunder predictions.
Pistons vs Thunder computer picks for March 30
|
Pistons |
Thunder |
|---|---|
|
Reed u12.5 points |
Mitchell u14.5 points |
|
Jenkins u16.5 points |
Holmgren o1.5 assists |
|
Thompson u11.5 points |
Wallace u7.5 points |
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Pistons computer picks
Paul Reed Under 12.5 points (-112)
Projection: 9.8 points
Paul Reed is being called upon for more minutes by the Detroit Pistons, with Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, and Duncan Robinson recently joining Cade Cunningham and Isaiah Stewart on the injury report.
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Our computer is skeptical that Reed can deliver, projecting him to fall nearly three full points short of his current line at bet365.
The Under has been a winner in eight of Reed’s last 10 overall, and the projected edge is a robust 27.52%.
span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet Reed Now at bet365!/span
Daniss Jenkins Under 16.5 points (-120)
Projection: 14.2 points
Our computer sees a sluggish tempo contributing to a slow night at the office for Cunningham’s backup, Daniss Jenkins.
“The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the away team. The Pistons will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).”
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With his projection checking in at over two points toward the Under, there’s a projected edge of 23.71%.
span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet Jenkins Now at bet365!/span
Ausar Thompson Under 11.5 points (-112)
Projection: 10.3 points
Ausar Thompson is listed as questionable for this game with an ankle ailment. Assuming he plays, our computer expects him to miss this Over by more than a point, signifying a 17.3% edge for Under bettors.
This ticket has been a winner in eight of Thompson’s last nine overall.
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Thunder computer picks
Ajay Mitchell Under 14.5 points (-120)
Projection: 11.5 points
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Ajay Mitchell is expected to come in well short of this line tonight. Offensive rebounds, or lack thereof, are expected to contribute to this Under.
“The Thunder rank 5th-worst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.”
span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet Mitchell Now at bet365!/span
Chet Holgren Over 1.5 assists (+140)
Projection: 1.6 assists
The Oklahoma City Thunder big man has reached multiple assists in nine of his last 15 overall, and our computer is backing him to do it again on Monday night.
There is a 16.7% EV edge associated with this Chet Holmgren play, making it a four-star projection.
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Cason Wallace Under 7.5 points (+102)
Projection: 6.5 points
Cason Wallace has stayed Under his point total in eight of his last 10 contests, and he hit a fluky five triples in one of the two games in which he went Over. Our computer is not expecting lightning to strike twice in that regard tonight.
“The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposing team’s starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%).”
span style=”font-size: 14px;”🔥/span spanBet Wallace Now at bet365!/span
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How to watch Pistons vs Thunder tonight
|
Location |
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
|
Date |
Monday, March 30, 2026 |
|
Tip-off |
9:30 p.m. ET |
|
TV |
Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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